Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Phillies on Friday, September 13th, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Phillies free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
(80-66) New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies (88-58)
Date: Friday, September 13th
Time: 6:40 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Jose Quintana vs. Aaron Nola
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +138 | Phillies -163 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mets vs. Phillies Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Philadelphia, where the Phillies will host the Mets at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is set for 6:40, and the temperature is a comfortable 86 degrees under a clear sky. The Phillies come into this NL East matchup with a record of 88-58, which has them sitting atop the division standings. The Mets are currently in second place in the NL East with a record of 80-66.
On the mound for the Mets is Jose Quintana, while the Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola. The Phillies are the favorites in this one, with a money line of -163 compared to the Mets at +138. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -114 compared to the under at -107.
New York Mets
The Mets are 80-66 overall, putting them eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 2nd in the NL East and has gone 22-17 in divisional games. Today, they are on the road, facing the Phillies, and the Mets are 40-34 at home and 40-32 on the road this season.
New York has been the favorite in 90 of their games, going 53-37 in those games. As the underdog, the Mets are 27-29, and they have won five straight series overall, with an overall series record of 25-16-7. This season, they are 20-18 as the road underdog.
New York’s offense was carried by Francisco Alvarez in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays. Alvarez went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Mets really broke things open with a six-run 9th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Mets were the slight underdog at -135.
Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Blue Jays batters. Danny Young picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz got the save.
Mets Gambling
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their season average of 9.1 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 72-69, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 25-19. In 35 games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.0% of their games.
When the Mets win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 73-73, and they have a run line record of 40-32 on the road. As the favorite, they are 40-50 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 33-23.
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Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 9th in the league. Their home and road splits are pretty similar, with 4.6 runs per game at home (11th) and 4.9 runs per game on the road (9th). The Mets have hit 184 home runs this season, which is 6th in the league. Their batting average of .246 is 11th, and they strike out an average of 8 times per game, which is 16th. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the top hitters for the Mets this season, with Lindor hitting .268 with 31 home runs and 85 RBI, while Alonso is hitting .238 with 31 home runs and 80 RBI. Lindor has been hot lately, hitting .256 with 3 home runs and 6 RBI in his last 10 games. Mark Vientos is hitting .276 this season and has 24 home runs and 62 RBI. He’s hitting .242 with 3 home runs and 5 RBI in his last 9 games. Jose Iglesias has a 6-game hitting streak, and Francisco Alvarez has a 3-game hitting streak.
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Philadelphia Phillies
With an overall record of 88-58, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies will host the Mets today, and they come in having won three straight games. Philadelphia closed out their series vs. the Rays with three straight wins. So far, they have gone 25-17 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies are 50-25 this season, and they are 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 75-43 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. Philadelphia has been tough to beat at home when favored, going 49-22. This season, their overall series record is 26-15-6, and they have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games.
Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Phillies closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -230. Offensively, the Phillies only had five hits but scored three runs. Nick Castellanos hit a homer for the Phillies but was only 1/2. The Phillies also had three other players with a hit.
Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Phillies Gambling
When the Philadelphia Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 68-71, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-14. Overall, 42 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which is 28.8% of their games. The majority of their games have had lower lines, with 75 games having lines set below 8.5 runs, accounting for 51.4% of their games.
Philadelphia has a run line record of 71-75 this season, including a 34-41 mark at home. The Phillies have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game overall, with a +1.2 run differential at home and a +0.5 run differential on the road. Their run line record as the favorite is 56-62, while they are 15-13 against the run line as the underdog.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 5th in runs per game at 4.9. Their home offense has been particularly good, as they are 2nd in runs per game at home with 5.1. The Phillies have a solid batting average of .259, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Alec Bohm. Harper has been hot recently, hitting .440 over his last 6 games. Schwarber is on a 9-game hitting streak. The Phillies will look to continue their strong offensive play as they push for a playoff spot.
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Mets Phillies Pitching
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Phillies. Quintana has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 4.09 ERA. So far, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Quintana pitched 6 2/3 innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings. Quintana has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-4 and 5.26 on the road compared to 4-5 with a 4.45 ERA at home.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets at home. Nola has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.18 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. In total, he has 18 quality starts and is averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings. Nola’s most recent outing came on September 7th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
With the Mets being the underdog at +138, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, giving us a good amount of value with them at +138.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana going five innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Aaron Nola, we have him going six innings and also finishing with four strikeouts.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
📸 We’ve got some pretty sweep shots for you to check out in today’s photo blog
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) September 12, 2024
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