Free MLB Pick: Mets vs Phillies Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies free plays? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Phillies on Wednesday, April 12, 2017 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(3-4) New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies (4-3)
Date: Wednesday, April 12, 2017
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Projected Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Vince Velasquez
MLB Moneyline Odds: New York -110 | Phillies +190
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: New York -1.5
MLB Betting Total: 8
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New York Mets
Once promising prospect Zack Wheeler has missed two straight seasons in a row, so expectations in his first start since 2014 were tempered. That was a safe call as Wheeler didn’t get past the 4th inning while giving up five earned runs against the Miami Marlins last Friday.
It could be an up and down year for Wheeler moving forward as he begins to get comfortable finding his stride as a full time pitcher. As a result, it’s probably best to stay away from his starts until there is some more consistency with his performances.
However, he’s still a high level talent, and it’s reasonable that he finds his stride at some point this season.
Vince Velasquez, acquired from the Houston Astros a couple of years ago, has all the tools to be a competent and even high level starter in the majors. His strikeout rate last year in 131 innings was 10.44 per nine, good enough to be a top 10 rate for those with 130 innings and above.
Nothing else positive jumps out on the rest of his peripherals, he does however have an issue giving up homeruns. In 2016, Velasquez gave up homeruns at a rate that was in the bottom 15 of the league.
In his first start of the season, all that is good and all that is bad about Velasquez was on full display. In only four innings pitched, Velasquez was able to strike out 10 batters of the 12 outs he generated, he also managed to give up two homeruns and got a quick hook.
He’s still young and will be given a leash to figure it out, but he’ll be a boom or bust pitcher this season.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- PHI are 4-10 in their last 14 overall
- NYM are 37-15 in the last 52 meetings
Free New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
This has the makings of a high scoring game, yet could also be a pitcher’s duel. Both pitchers are highly talented but are also young in their careers, I like the Phillies in this matchup given that their starter is slightly more reliable at this point of the season.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies
Velasquez has a tendency to give up some homeruns and the Mets have a tendency to hit them, finishing in the top five last year in total HRs. But Wheeler was a dumpster fire in his first game back, two years away from baseball will surely have their growing pains and I think that Wheeler will take some more time to settle in.
MLB Free Score Prediction: New York 3 – Philadelphia 7
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