Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Brewers Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Brewers on Tuesday, October 1st, 2024 at American Family Field, in Milwaukee, WI. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Brewers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
(89-73) New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers (93-69)
Date: Tuesday, October 1st
Time: 5:32 ET
Venue: American Family Field Milwaukee, WI
Projected Starting Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Freddy Peralta
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +119 | Brewers -140 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5 | Brewers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Mets vs. Brewers Gameday
At 5:32 PM ET, the New York Mets are taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. The pitching matchup is set to feature Luis Severino for the Mets and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers. The Brewers are currently favored to win this one, with a money line payout of -140 compared to the Mets’ +119.
Looking at the over/under line, the over is currently set at 7.5 runs with a payout of -102, while the under is set at 7.5 runs with a payout of -119. This game is being broadcast on ESPN.
New York Mets
New York is 89-73 overall and is six games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets will be on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are 30-22 against other teams in the NL East. So far, the Mets have been good at home, going 46-35, and they are 43-38 on the road.
As the favorite, the Mets have gone 59-39 this year and 30-34 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 28-18-9, and they split their most recent series vs. the Braves. Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 5-5 over their last 10.
New York closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 3-0 loss on the road. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +263 on the money line. Things really got away from the Mets in the 7th inning, as the Braves scored two runs in the inning. New York’s offense also wasted a good start from Joey Lucchesi, who went six innings and gave up just one run while striking out five.
Lucchesi was tagged with the loss, as the Mets offense didn’t score a run. He also issued four walks and hit a batter. The Mets only had three hits but didn’t score a run. Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso, and Dominic Smith each had a hit. McNeil scored the team’s only run, and Alonso and Smith didn had an RBI.
Mets Gambling
The Mets are on the road against the Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 81-76. The average over/under line for Mets games this season is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 23-17. In total, 109 of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, accounting for 67.3% of their games.
The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 82-80 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 44-37 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 37-27 against the run line in those games.
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Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 7th in the league. Their home and road splits are nearly identical, with 4.7 runs per game at home and 4.8 on the road.
The Mets have hit 207 home runs this season, which is 6th in the league. Their team batting average of .246 is 8th in the league, and they rank 8th in walks. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top hitters this season, with Lindor hitting .273 and Alonso leading the team with 34 home runs and 88 RBI.
Lindor has been hot lately, going 6 for 17 with 2 home runs and 5 RBI in his last 4 games. Jose Iglesias is currently on a 22-game hitting streak for the Mets.
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Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 93-69 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cardinals by ten games for the top spot in the division. The Brewers have gone 32-20 against other teams in the NL Central this season.
At home, the Brewers are 47-34 this season, and they have gone 46-35 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 54-38 this season, and they are 39-31 as the underdog.
The Brewers have an overall series record of 29-18-4, and they have won five straight series on the road.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 81-71. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 23-16.
Overall, 72.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Brewers Gambling
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.9 runs per game. Their run line record is 82-80, and they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 45-36 vs. the run line. As the underdog, they are 46-24 vs. the run line, compared to 36-56 as the favorite.
Brewers Stats
The Milwaukee Brewers have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 6th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per game.
The Brewers have been getting on base at a good clip, as their .326 OBP ranks 4th in the league. Willy Adames has been a key contributor at the plate, leading the team with 32 home runs and 112 RBIs this season. Rhys Hoskins has also been productive, with 26 home runs and 82 RBIs. In terms of recent performances, Jackson Chourio has been hot, hitting .304 over his last 6 games.
Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio are currently on hitting streaks.
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Mets Brewers Pitching
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 11-7 with a 3.91 ERA. So far, Severino has turned in 14 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game.
Looking back at his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. In his 31 appearances, Severino has a WHIP of 1.24 and is averaging 7.96 strikeouts per nine innings.
Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that September 25th start, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on two homers.
Looking back over his last four starts, Peralta has allowed at least one homer in each outing. For the season, he has a record of 11-9 and an ERA of 3.68. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and he has a total of 26 homers allowed. Peralta’s ERA at home is 4.12 compared to 3.7 on the road.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Brewers are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Brewers have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Brewers have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted score for this Brewers vs. Mets matchup is 4-3 in favor of the Brewers. With the money line payout for a Brewers win sitting at -140, this is the route we recommend going for today’s game.
Looking at some potential player props, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for second among today’s starters. As for Luis Severino, his projected strikeout total is five, which is the lowest among today’s starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
If you’re not with us, you better fear us #Undaunted pic.twitter.com/GcxALHYONm
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) October 1, 2024
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