Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Marlins Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Marlins on 9/26 at loanDepot Park, in Miami. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Marlins free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
(82-77) New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (77-82)
Date: Sep 26, 2025
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Brandon Sproat vs. Sandy Alcantara
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -132 | Marlins +113 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Marlins +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mets vs. Marlins Gameday
Tonight, the New York Mets will take on the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The Mets have a record of 82-77 and currently hold the second spot in the NL East. Meanwhile, the Marlins are at 77-82, placing them third in the division.
The Mets arrive in Miami after a recent 8-5 victory over the Chicago Cubs. With a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, they are looking to maintain their momentum. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost their last two games, most recently falling 1-0 to the Philadelphia Phillies.
Historically, the Mets and Marlins have had close contests this season. The last 10 meetings between the two teams have resulted in a 5-5 tie, with the Mets slightly outscoring the Marlins by an average margin of 0.7 runs. This game could be pivotal as both teams look to finish their season on a high note.
Fans can catch the action on FDSFL as the Mets, led by Manager Carlos Mendoza, face off against Clayton McCullough’s Marlins.
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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds & Last 5
Notably, the odds for tonight’s game indicate the Mets as the favorites with a moneyline of -134, while the Marlins are at +113. The runline shows the Mets at -1.5 with odds of +128, suggesting they need to win by two or more runs to cover.
The total for the game is set at 8.5, with the over at -105 and the under at -115, indicating a close expectation for the total runs scored.
In their recent games, the Mets have shown a strong performance with a 6-4 record in their last ten outings. Their last game against the Cubs resulted in an 8-5 win, showcasing their ability to score runs.
On the other hand, the Marlins have been on a two-game losing streak, including a narrow 1-0 loss against the Phillies, highlighting their recent struggles to put runs on the board.
Historically, the Mets and Marlins have had a balanced season series, tied at 5-5 in their last ten encounters. The Mets have outscored the Marlins by an average margin of 0.7 runs in these meetings.
This suggests a competitive game tonight, with both teams eager to end the season positively.
Marlins Stats
Firstly, the Miami Marlins have shown a consistent batting performance this season. They hold a .251 batting average, ranking 6th in the league. However, their slugging percentage of .394 places them at 18th, indicating room for improvement in power hitting.
Additionally, the Marlins’ pitching staff has faced challenges. Their earned run average of 4.63 ranks 26th, and they have given up 197 home runs, placing them 20th in that category.
Despite these struggles, they have managed to secure 22 blown saves, which ranks 5th.
Recently, the Marlins have experienced a mix of outcomes in their games. They secured a win against the Philadelphia Phillies on September 23rd with a 6-5 score but suffered losses in their subsequent games against the same team.
Lastly, key players like Agustín Ramírez and Otto Lopez have been pivotal for the Marlins. Ramírez leads the team with 21 home runs, while Lopez tops the RBI chart with 77.
Their contributions, along with others, will be vital as the Marlins aim to finish the season on a strong note.
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Mets Stats
Let’s delve into the New York Mets’ batting performance this season. They hold a team batting average of .250, ranking 7th in the league. Additionally, their on-base percentage stands at .326, placing them 5th, while their slugging percentage of .429 also ranks 5th.
The Mets have shown power with 222 home runs, which is 5th best in the league.
Moreover, the Mets’ pitching staff has faced challenges, as indicated by their 4.05 team ERA, ranking 18th. They have allowed a batting average against of .245, placing them 14th. Notably, their pitchers have given up 148 home runs, which is the 2nd highest in the league.
In recent games, the Mets have been inconsistent. They secured a win against the Cubs on September 25th with an 8-5 score, showcasing strong hitting with 10 hits and 2 home runs. However, they suffered a loss on September 24th, falling 10-3 to the Cubs, managing only 4 hits.
Key players for the Mets include Pete Alonso, who leads the team with 37 home runs and 123 RBIs, and Francisco Lindor, contributing with a .267 batting average and 30 home runs. Brett Baty has also been impactful with 18 home runs and a .255 average.
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Mets vs. Marlins Pitching Matchup
Brandon Sproat gets the ball for the Mets, carrying a 3.94 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP into this matchup. The rookie hasn’t notched a win yet (0-1), but the numbers show he’s been steady at limiting traffic.
If he keeps that WHIP below 1.20, New York has a chance to turn his outings into better results.
Across the diamond, Sandy Alcantara takes the mound for Miami. It’s been a rocky year for the former Cy Young winner, sitting at 10-12 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. While he’s been hit hard at times, double-digit wins prove he can still grind out quality starts.
The Marlins need his veteran presence to stabilize the rotation and give them a shot in close games.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Baseball Betting Trends
- The Marlins have a record of 3-2 in their last five games.
- In their last five games, the Marlins have hit the under in three games.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in two of their last five games.
- Also, the Mets have a record of 2-3 in their last five games.
- In their last five games, the Mets have hit the over in three games.
- The Mets have covered the run line in two of their last five games.
Today’s MLB Free Pick – Under 8.5
The Marlins have leaned under in three of their last five outings, showcasing a recent pattern of tight, low-scoring games. Their pitching has quietly held its own, sitting 18th in ERA, which should be enough to slow down the Mets’ offense.
On the other side, the Mets have gone over in three of their last five, though much of that stems from shaky pitching. Still, Miami’s ballpark environment naturally suppresses runs, and the Marlins’ ability to dictate tempo at home is a key factor here.
Although past head-to-head meetings have tilted toward higher totals, the current trends point the other way.
With Miami keeping opponents in check and New York struggling for consistent road production, this shapes up as a classic under spot.
Moreover, the controlled conditions at loanDepot Park eliminate any variables that might inflate scoring. Both clubs have shown recent stretches of inconsistency at the plate, which adds even more confidence to a low total outcome.
Considering the matchup, the Marlins’ pitching edge at home, and the Mets’ uneven road play, the under 8.5 feels like the sharp side to back in this spot.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Some amazing Marlins news!
Kemp Alderman is the Marlins’ Minor League Player of the Year!
Robby Snelling is the Marlins’ Minor League Player of the Year!
Jakob Marsee is our Triple-A MVP!
Thomas White was also named Double-A Pensacola MVP!https://t.co/c0QBbH8FT8
— Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (@JaxShrimp) September 25, 2025
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