Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Reds Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Reds on at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Reds free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(50-30-0) New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds (27-52-0)
Date: Wednesday, July 6th
Time: 06:40 ETPM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park Cincinnati
Projected Pitchers: David Peterson vs. Graham Ashcraft
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -163 Reds 137
MLB run line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5, Reds -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
New York Mets
Heading into the game, the New York Mets have an overall record of 50-30-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 24-17. In the NL East division, New York currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 44-36-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 74.0% of their games. The Mets’ over-under record is 41-33-6.
For New York, David Peterson gets the start with an overall record of 5-1. This includes a strong ERA of 3.24. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.84 innings per outing, as well as 9.26 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.39 per 9. In total, Peterson has given up 6 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Mets have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 3.61.
During the season, the New York Mets have performed well on offense, averaging 4.80 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 60.0. The Mets come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.256. New York combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.24. Placing them 21st. In terms of stolen bases, the Mets are doing so near the league average, at 0.8 per game.
New York has been strong on defense, ranking 6th in fewest errors at 0.45 per game. Currently, the team is ranked 0.8 in double plays turned.
Heading into the game, the Cincinnati Reds have an overall record of 27-52-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 13-26. In the NL Central division, Cincinnati currently sits 5th So far, the team has gone 34-45-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 25.0% of their games. The Redss’ over-under record is 44-34-1.
For Cincinnati, Graham Ashcraft gets the start with an overall record of 4-2. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 4.53. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.4 innings per outing. as well as 5.77 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 1.85 per 9. In total, Ashcraft has given up 5 home runs.
During the season, the Reds bullpen has received a workload similar to the league average. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 5.65.
So far, the Cincinnati Reds have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.29 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -101.0. On offense, the Reds have a team batting average of 0.240, placing them 18th in the league. Cincinnati combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.231. Placing them below average. With runners on base, the Reds are averaging just 0.58 stolen bases per game.
In the field, Cincinnati averages 0.54 errors per game, placing them near the league average. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.58 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
- NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati’s last 13 games
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup favors the New York Mets. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, David Peterson has the better WHIP of 1.2 compared to Graham Ashcraft at 1.24. Peterson will be facing a Reds offense with a team batting average of 0.240 (18th). Ashcraft has a tough matchup against a Mets offense ranked 4th in batting average.
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