Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Reds Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Reds on 9/6 at Great American Ball Park, in Cincinnati. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Reds free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
(76-65) New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds (70-71)
Date: Sep 06, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Jonah Tong vs. Brady Singer
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -132 | Reds +112 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Reds +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Mets vs. Reds Gameday
As the New York Mets prepare to take on the Cincinnati Reds, they come into the game with a record of 76-65, standing second in the NL East. Their recent form shows a 6-4 run over the last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Reds are struggling with a 70-71 record and have lost their last three games.
The Mets are managed by Carlos Mendoza, with Jeremy Barnes and Eric Chavez as their hitting coaches. Their pitching is guided by Jeremy Hefner. On the other hand, the Reds have Terry Francona at the helm, with Chris Valaika and Derek Johnson in charge of hitting and pitching, respectively.
In their recent head-to-head encounters, the Mets have had the upper hand, winning 2 of the last 3 games against the Reds. However, the Reds have managed to keep the games close, with an average margin of just 0.3 runs. Notably, the Reds have outscored the Mets by an average of 1.2 runs in their last 10 meetings.
Today’s game is set to take place at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, where the Reds hold a 38-34 home record. The Mets, with their road record of 31-38, will be looking to improve as they aim to continue their winning streak. Fans can catch the action on SNY, with weather conditions forecasted as overcast and mild.
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New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds & Last 5
As the Mets and Reds prepare for their game, the odds reflect the current form of both teams. The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -131, while the Reds stand at +112. The runline gives the Mets -1.5 at +122, indicating expectations of a potential win by more than one run.
Looking at recent performances, the Mets have shown a solid form, winning 6 of their last 10 games. Their recent victory against the Reds, with a close score of 5-4, highlights their ability to edge out tight contests. On the other hand, the Reds are on a downward trend, having lost their last three games, including two against the Mets.
In head-to-head matchups this season, the Mets have a slight edge, winning two out of the last three games. Despite this, the Reds have managed to keep the games competitive, with only a small average margin separating the teams. With the total set at 9.0, bettors might consider the under, given the recent trend of low-scoring encounters between these teams.
Reds Stats
Currently, the Cincinnati Reds hold a batting average of .248, ranking them 10th in the league. Their on-base percentage stands at .317, placing them 11th. Although their slugging percentage is at .392, it ranks 19th, indicating room for improvement.
In terms of power, the Reds have hit 138 home runs, ranking 20th overall. They have managed to hit 231 doubles, which ranks them 9th. This suggests that while their home run numbers are not high, they are effective in getting extra-base hits.
On the pitching side, the Reds have an earned run average of 3.96, which places them 16th in the league. Their batting average against is .237, ranking them 8th, showing they are adept at limiting opponents’ hits. Additionally, they have given up 167 home runs, ranking 11th, which is a concern for their pitching staff.
The Reds have achieved 61 quality starts, ranking them 4th in that category. This demonstrates their starting pitchers’ ability to keep the team in games. However, they have recorded 20 blown saves, ranking 6th, indicating challenges in closing out games.
Recent games have been challenging for the Reds, with losses to both the New York Mets and the Toronto Blue Jays. In their latest game against the Mets, they recorded 9 hits but failed to hit a home run. Despite the losses, players like Tyler Stephenson and Ke’Bryan Hayes have shown consistency at the plate.
Key players for the Reds include Elly De La Cruz, who leads the team with 19 home runs and 95 runs scored. Spencer Steer and Matt McLain also contribute with solid performances, although their batting averages are below .250. As the season progresses, the Reds will look to build on their strengths and address their weaknesses.
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Mets Stats
Firstly, the New York Mets’ offense has shown consistency this season. With a team batting average of .252, they rank 6th in the league. Their ability to get on base is notable, as they hold a .329 on-base percentage, ranking 4th overall.
Additionally, the Mets’ power at the plate is evident. They have hit 194 home runs, placing them 6th in the league. Their slugging percentage of .431 ranks 5th, showcasing their ability to drive in runs with extra-base hits.
On the pitching side, the Mets have had mixed results. Their earned run average stands at 3.93, ranking them 12th in the league. However, they have limited home runs given up to 125, which is the 2nd fewest in the league.
Moreover, the Mets’ pitching staff has accumulated 1,214 strikeouts, placing them 9th in the league. This demonstrates their ability to overpower opposing hitters. However, they have struggled with blown saves, with 24 on the season, ranking 10th.
In recent games, the Mets have shown a mix of performances. They secured a win against the Cincinnati Reds on September 5th, with Mark Vientos contributing significantly with a home run. Yet, they faced a setback against the Detroit Tigers on September 3rd, where their offense couldn’t produce enough runs.
Finally, key players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been instrumental for the Mets. Alonso leads the team with 33 home runs and 113 RBIs, while Lindor has contributed with a batting average of .266 and 26 home runs. Their performances will be crucial as the Mets aim to maintain their momentum.
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Mets vs. Reds Pitching Matchup
Jonah Tong takes the mound for the New York Mets with an ERA of 1.80. His WHIP stands at 1.20, and he holds a win-loss record of 1-0. Despite his limited outings, Tong has been effective in keeping runs off the board.
In addition to his ERA, Tong’s control has been a key factor in his early success. His ability to limit walks and maintain a low WHIP has contributed to his strong start. As he gains more experience, his performance will be closely watched.
Brady Singer will start for the Cincinnati Reds, bringing an ERA of 4.08. His WHIP is 1.26, and he has a win-loss record of 12-9. Singer’s experience on the mound is evident in his ability to secure wins for his team.
Though his ERA is higher than Tong’s, Singer’s consistency has been vital for the Reds. He has shown the ability to strike out batters and navigate through challenging innings. As the season progresses, Singer will aim to refine his command and lower his ERA.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Trends
- The Reds have lost 4 of their last 5 games straight-up.
- In their last 5 games, the Reds have hit the over in 4 instances.
- Also, the Reds have failed to cover the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Mets have won 3 of their last 5 games straight-up.
- Additionally, the Mets have hit the over in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Mets have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mets vs Reds Prediction: Over 9
The Reds have been slumping, dropping four of their last five, but the bigger story has been the scoreboard lighting up. They’ve hit the over in four of those contests, and their pitching staff continues to leak runs at the wrong times.
At the same time, the Mets have been steadier, winning three of their last five while also cashing the over in three. Their lineup has found some rhythm, and when paired with shaky Reds pitching, that’s a recipe for offense.
Furthermore, the recent head-to-head history between these two clubs points toward high-scoring battles. Both teams have shown a pattern of games going past the posted total when they square off.
With the Reds giving up runs and the Mets’ bats finding form, this matchup sets up perfectly for another over ticket to cash.
All signs point in the same direction: shaky Reds pitching, solid Mets hitting, and recent meetings that have gone over the number. Backing the over 8.5 feels like the smart play in this spot.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Air TJ@TjFriedl1 pic.twitter.com/46GuISHU44
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 5, 2025
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