Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Cubs Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Cubs on Sunday, June 23rd, 2024 at Wrigley Field, in Chicago, IL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Cubs free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs
(36-39) New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs (37-40)
Date: Sunday, June 23rd
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Wrigley Field Chicago, IL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Javier Assad
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -105 | Cubs -114 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Cubs +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Mets vs. Cubs Gameday
At 7:10 PM ET, the New York Mets will be visiting the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. The weather forecast is calling for 76 degrees with broken clouds. This NL matchup will be televised on ESPN.
On the mound for the Mets is Luis Severino, while the Cubs will counter with Javier Assad. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the under slightly favored at -107. The money line is currently favoring the Cubs at -114 compared to the Mets at -105.
Chicago cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were the slight underdogs at +105.
Jameson Taillon pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts and picked up a win. Tylor Megill had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.
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At the plate, the Cubs were led by Francisco Alvarez and J.D. Martinez, who each had two hits and an RBI. Christopher Morel also had a two-hit game for Chicago and drove in two runs.
With an overall record of 36-39, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York is 11-10 in divisional matchups this season. The Mets have been playing well lately, going 8-2 over their last 10 games, and they are looking to take the series lead over the Cubs today.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this season, and they have gone 18-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 20-19 this season, and they are 16-20 as the underdog. New York has won four straight series, and they have won three straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 11-12-3 this year.
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 38-35, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 8-4. This season, 42.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 41.3% have had lines set below 8 runs.
Mets Gambling
When betting the run line, the Mets have been a better play on the road this season, going 20-14. They have been a favorite in 39 games and have gone 13-26 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in games they have won is +3.3, while it is -3.2 in games they have lost.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.7 runs per game away from home, which is the best mark in the league. However, their offense has struggled at home, where they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, 27th in the league. Overall, the Mets rank 9th in runs per game at 4.7. Their top hitters this season have been Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo, who both have 42 RBIs on the year. Nimmo has been especially hot lately, hitting .417 over his last 9 games.
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With a record of 37-40, the Cubs are 4th in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 9-17 in divisional matchups. The Cubs will host the Mets today with an overall record of 22-17 at home compared to 15-23 on the road.
Chicago has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 18-22 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Cubs are 19-18 this season. They have an overall series record of 9-13-2 heading into today’s game three vs. the Mets.
Chicago Cubs games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-41. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 3-9. Overall, 49.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 35.1% have had lines set at under 8 runs.
Cubs Gambling
When the Cubs win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.0 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 37-40, and they are 15-24 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 27-13 against the run line, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
Cubs Stats
The Chicago Cubs offense has been below average this season, ranking 18th in runs per game at 4.2. Their home and road splits are very similar, with 4.3 runs per game at home (14th) and 4.1 runs per game on the road (20th). The Cubs have hit a total of 74 home runs, which is 16th in the league. Their batting average of .230 is 17th, and they strike out 8 times per game, which is 22nd in the league. On the positive side, they rank 5th in walks and have a good OBP of .311. Looking at some of their top hitters for the season, Ian Happ has been swinging a hot bat lately, hitting .381 over his last 6 games.
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Mets Cubs Pitching
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Cubs on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.52. Opponents have a batting average of .217 this season off Severino, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been solid at home, with an ERA of 2.68 compared to 4.98 on the road.
Through 15 starts, Javier Assad has a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.75. He has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 9.04 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Assad finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on seven hits. He did well to limit the damage, as he gave up two homers in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Assad has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.79 ERA compared to 3.71 on the road.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Cubs are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Cubs have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Cubs have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted score for this Mets vs. Cubs matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Mets. Given that the Mets are the underdogs on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up a win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Severino finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him ranked 11th among starters. As for Javier Assad, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him ranked 16th.
Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with eight hits compared to the Cubs with eight. However, the Cubs are projected to finish with just four runs compared to the Mets with five.
Our recommended bet is to take the Mets on the money line at -105.
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