Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Orioles Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Orioles on 7/9 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, in Baltimore. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Orioles free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
(53-39) New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles (40-50)
Date: Jul 09, 2025
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
Projected Starting Pitchers: David Peterson vs. Tomoyuki Sugano
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -151 | Orioles +128 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Orioles +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 10.0
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Mets vs. Orioles Gameday
The New York Mets travel to Baltimore to play the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The game is set for a 7:05 PM start and will be broadcast on ESPN. The weather forecast predicts a very hot night with light rain and a crosswind.
The Mets, led by manager Carlos Mendoza, hold a 53-39 record this season. They have been stronger at home with a 33-14 record but are 20-25 on the road. Recently, they came out on top against the Orioles with a narrow 7-6 victory.
Meanwhile, the Orioles are under interim manager Tony Mansolino. They have struggled this season with a 40-50 record and are 13 games behind in the AL East. However, they have shown they can compete, having recently defeated the Atlanta Braves in a tight 2-1 game.
In their last face-off, the Mets had 11 hits and three home runs, while the Orioles had nine hits and one home run. Key hitters for the Mets included Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor, each contributing with home runs. The Orioles’ Jackson Holliday also made an impact, hitting a home run and driving in two runs.
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Mets vs. Orioles Odds & Last 5
The Mets enter the game with a moneyline of -152, indicating they are favored. Their runline is set at -1.5 with odds of +103. The over/under for the game is 10 runs, with the over at -107.
Recently, the Mets secured a 7-6 win over the Orioles. The Mets’ offense shined with 11 hits and three home runs. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor were key contributors, each hitting home runs.
On the other hand, the Orioles are set at +129 on the moneyline. They have a runline of +1.5 at -124. Despite their recent loss to the Mets, they have shown potential by defeating the Braves 2-1 in a previous game.
Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles have shown solid hitting this season. They hold a batting average of .239, ranking them 17th in the league. Their on-base percentage is also .304, matching their batting average rank. The team has hit 108 home runs, placing them 10th overall, which is a bright spot in their offensive stats.
In recent games, the Orioles have had mixed results. They lost a close game to the New York Mets, 6-7, but managed to win three games against the Atlanta Braves. The team showed resilience with a 2-1 win on July 6th and a 9-6 victory on July 5th. These games highlight their ability to perform well on the road.
Key players for the Orioles include Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn. Holliday has played in 83 games with a .263 batting average and 12 home runs. O’Hearn is hitting .286 over 77 games and has 11 home runs. Both players have been crucial in driving in runs and maintaining momentum.
On the pitching side, the Orioles have room for improvement. Their earned run average stands at 4.95, ranking them 27th. They have given up 126 home runs, putting them 25th in the league. However, they have managed 24 quality starts, showing some consistency in their rotation.
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Mets Stats
The New York Mets have shown solid performance in the 2025 season. Their batting average stands at .246, ranking them 12th. However, their on-base percentage is more impressive at .323, placing them 8th in the league.
Power hitting is a strength for the Mets. They have hit 121 home runs, ranking 6th, and have a slugging percentage of .420, which is 7th in the league. This power is complemented by 144 doubles, placing them 12th.
On the pitching side, the Mets have an earned run average of 3.59, which ranks them 6th. They have allowed a batting average against of .237, placing them 8th. Their pitching staff has given up 80 home runs, ranking them 3rd in that category.
In recent games, the Mets have been on a good run. They won four of their last five games, including a 7-6 win against the Baltimore Orioles. Key players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been instrumental, with Alonso hitting 21 home runs and Lindor contributing 18 homers.
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Mets vs. Orioles Pitching Matchup
David Peterson takes the mound for the New York Mets. He sports a 3.18 ERA and a WHIP of 1.27. With a win-loss record of 6-4, Peterson has been consistent. His ability to keep runs off the board has been key for the Mets.
Tomoyuki Sugano will start for the Baltimore Orioles. He has a 4.44 ERA and a WHIP of 1.31. Sugano’s record stands at 6-5. He aims to improve his ERA and help the Orioles secure more wins.
New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Baseball Betting Trends
- The Orioles have won 3 of their last 5 games straight-up.
- The Mets have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games.
- In 4 of the last 5 games, the total has gone over 9 runs for the Orioles.
- The Mets have hit 3 home runs in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Orioles have allowed 6 or more runs in 2 of their last 5 games.
- The Mets have recorded 10 or more hits in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mets vs Orioles Prediction: Over 10.0
The Mets have been on a hitting spree, scoring 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. They have also hit 3 home runs in 3 of those games. This offensive power suggests they can put up runs against the Orioles.
On the other hand, the Orioles have seen the total go over 9 runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Their pitching has allowed 6 or more runs in 2 of those games. This trend indicates a likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Considering the Mets’ recent hitting form and the Orioles’ tendency to allow runs, the total of 10.0 runs seems reachable. Therefore, the pick is Over 10.0 for this game.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Hello, Jackson. Goodbye, baseball. pic.twitter.com/uDEcSBbdVW
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) July 9, 2025
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