Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Braves Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Braves on Monday, September 30th, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Braves free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
(88-72) New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (88-72)
Date: Monday, September 30th
Time: 1:10 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tylor Megill vs. Spencer Schwellenbach
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +133 | Braves -157 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Mets vs. Braves Gameday
It’s a beautiful day for baseball in Atlanta, where the Braves are set to host the Mets in an NL East showdown. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 PM at Truist Park, where the temperature is expected to be a comfortable 67 degrees under clear skies.
The Mets are sending Tylor Megill to the mound, while the Braves will counter with Spencer Schwellenbach.
With identical records of 88-72, both teams are looking to finish the season strong. The Braves are currently listed as the favorite, with a money line payout of -157 compared to the Mets’ +133.
The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -106.
New York Mets
The Mets are on the road today for their matchup vs. the Braves, and they are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Overall, the Mets are 88-72 heading into today’s game, and they are 29-21 in divisional games this year. New York has been good at home, going 46-35, and they are above .500 on the road, sitting at 42-37.
So far this season, the Mets have gone 59-39 as the favorite, and they are 29-33 as the underdog. As the road underdog, the Mets have gone 21-21 this year.
New York’s series record is 27-18-8 this year, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Brewers. In the series, they dropped two of three games.
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. After scoring a run in the 1st inning, the Mets added another three runs in the 4th to break things open. New York went on to add another run in the 5th.
David Peterson put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run.
He also issued just three walks and struck out eight Brewers batters. Francisco Lindor was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Mets Gambling
Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets’ game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 7.5 runs.
The Mets have played 108 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 80-75, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.
The under has hit in two straight games for the Mets.
When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it has been a better proposition to take them on the road. They have covered the run line in 43 of 79 road games, compared to just 38 of 81 at home. The Mets’ average run margin in all games this season is +0.5 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game on the road and +0.6 runs per game at home.
They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 36-26, compared to 45-53 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game, while it drops to -3.6 runs per game in losses.
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Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 7th in the league. Their home and road splits are nearly identical, with 4.7 runs per game at home and 4.8 on the road. The Mets have hit 205 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league.
Their top hitters for the season include Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Brandon Nimmo. Lindor leads the team with 88 RBI, while Alonso and Nimmo have each hit 34 home runs this season. Jose Iglesias is currently on a 20-game hitting streak, and over his last 7 games, he is hitting .429.
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Atlanta Braves
With an overall record of 88-72, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 27-23 against other teams in the NL East. This year, the Braves have been good at home, going 45-34, and they are 43-38 on the road.
Atlanta has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 75-54. As for their record as the underdog, they are 13-18. The Braves have been playing well lately, going 7-3 across their last ten games.
They also have an overall series record of 29-16-7 and have won three straight series.
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 4-2 loss.
This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 3rd inning before the Royals scored three runs in the top of the 3rd. Atlanta was the -218 favorite at home going into the game.
Charlie Morton took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Braves’s offense scored their only two runs in thejson 3rd, with Gio Urshela going 2/4 with a homer.
Braves Gambling
Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 58 times and under 96 times this season. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 7.5. In games with a line of 7.5 runs, the over has hit 13 times and the under has hit 22 times. The Braves have played 116 games with higher lines than 7.5 runs, and just 9 games with lower lines.
Their games have averaged a combined 8.1 runs per game this season.
When the Braves win, they win by an average of 3.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 76-84, with a run line record of 33-46 at home and 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, they are 58-71 against the run line, while they are 18-13 as the underdog.
Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been an average offensive team this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 15th in the league. However, they have been better on the road, scoring 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league.
Their home runs total of 211 is 4th in the league, and their ISO of .172 is 5th. Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, leading the team in batting average (.304), on-base percentage (.381), home runs (39), and RBI (102). In terms of recent performances, Gio Urshela and Michael Harris II have been hot at the plate. Ronald Acuña Jr. is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Mets Braves Pitching
New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he comes in with a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 3.98. Megill has made 14 starts this year and has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 6.1.
In his last outing, he gave up one earned run in four innings of work vs. the Phillies. Megill didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but he had given up a homer in three straight starts before that. Opponents are batting .218 off Megill this year.
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets at home. Schwellenbach has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.47 ERA. In his 20 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Schwellenbach has been pitching well recently, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings.
Most recently, he went seven innings vs. the Mets, giving up just one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
We see the Mets coming out on top in this one by a score of 4-2. Given that they are the underdogs, we really like the value of taking them on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +133.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tylor Megill going five innings and finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, we have him going six innings and also finishing with seven K’s.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
It all comes down to today.#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/urW3jQPrGn
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 30, 2024
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