Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Braves Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Braves on Thursday, June 19th, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Braves free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
(45-29) New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (33-39)
Date: Thursday, June 19th
Time: 7:15 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Clay Holmes vs. Spencer Strider
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +106 | Braves -126 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mets vs. Braves Gameday
The forecast doesn’t look good for Thursday’s Braves vs. Mets matchup, as there looks to be light rain in Atlanta. First pitch for this one is 7:15 PM ET from Truist Park. The Braves are favored on the money line (-126), while the Mets are the slight underdog (+106). The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
MLBN will be televising Thursday’s matchup, and the Mets will be looking to snap a five-game losing streak. They are 45-29 and 1st in the NL East, while the Braves are 33-39 and 3rd in the division. Clay Holmes will start for the Mets, and he is facing off against Spencer Strider.
The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Mets rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-4 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -200 on the money line.
Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies each had two hits and scored a run for the Braves. Matt Olson also homered for Atlanta. For the Mets, Starling Marte went 2/4 with two RBIs.
Chris Sale pitched well for the Braves in this one, going 8 2/3 innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Paul Blackburn took the loss for the Mets.
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The Mets are 45-29 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. Currently, they are on a five-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Braves. New York leads the Phillies by just one game in the division standings.
So far, the Mets have gone 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. At home, they are 27-10 this year compared to an 18-19 mark on the road. As the road underdog, the Mets’ overall record is 18-19, and they have dropped two straight as the road underdog. Their overall series record is 14-7-2, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
Mets Stats
With an average of 4.4 runs per game, the Mets have the 11th ranked scoring offense in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 5th in home runs and have the league’s top offense in terms of RBIs.
Over the team’s last eight games, both Brandon Nimmo and Juan Soto have three home runs, with Nimmo hitting .323 and Soto batting .286. Pete Alonso has been the Mets’ top power threat this season, as his 17 homers are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. He also leads the team with 63 RBIs.
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With an overall record of 33-39, the Braves are 11 games behind the Mets in the NL East. The Braves have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Mets, and they have an NL East division record of 9-7 this year. Atlanta’s two straight wins have come at home, where they are 21-15 this season.
So far, the Braves have really struggled on the road, going 12-24. As for how they have fared as the underdog, the Braves are 33-39 and have yet to be the favorite in a game this year. Atlanta’s overall series record is 10-12-1, and they have won two straight series.
Braves Stats
Over the past six games, Ronald Acuña Jr. has been on fire for the Braves, going 11/19 with three homers and five RBIs. For the season, Acuña Jr. is hitting .275 with a team-leading 15 homers. Matt Olson is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .251 with 15 homers, which is 11th best in the league.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. Their team batting average of .245 is 12th in the MLB, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of their collective BABIP. Currently, they are 12th in home runs and have the 12th best on-base percentage in the league.
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Mets Braves Pitching
Right-hander Clay Holmes gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 7-3 with a 2.87 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .233 this season off Holmes. In his 14 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.81 strikeouts per nine innings. Holmes most recently pitched on June 13th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Through six starts, Spencer Strider has a record of 1-5 and an ERA of 4.36 for the Braves. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, Strider was dominant, going six innings and picking up the win. He didn’t allow a run in the outing and gave up just three hits. Looking back further, Strider had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts before this gem. The right-hander has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 10.74 strikeouts per nine innings.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 9-1 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 0-3 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Mets vs. Braves Prediction: Braves ML -126
Our prediction for this Mets vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -126. We have the Braves winning this game by a score of 5-2, and with the payout for a Braves win sitting at -126, we see this as a great value.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Spencer Strider finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters.
As for Holmes, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which is the sixth fewest.
The Braves could be turning a corner here and I’m all in.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
An absolute masterpiece from Cy Sale ⛵️ pic.twitter.com/txQQtDEPh6
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) June 19, 2025
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