Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, August 28th, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Diamondbacks free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(69-63) New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (75-57)
Date: Wednesday, August 28th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +107 | Diamondbacks -126 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5 | Diamondbacks -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET in Phoenix, Arizona, the Diamondbacks are hosting the Mets in an NL matchup. The Mets are sending Luis Severino to the mound, while the Diamondbacks are countering with Eduardo Rodriguez. The Diamondbacks are currently favored to win this one, with a money line of -126 compared to the Mets’ +107.
Looking at the over/under line, it’s currently set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -114 and the under at -108. If you’re looking at the run line, the Mets are getting 1.5 runs at -189, while the Diamondbacks are giving up 1.5 runs at +158.
New York cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored all three of their runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -108.
Sean Manaea got the win for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Brandon Pfaadt had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.
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Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 2/5 with two RBIs and two runs scored. J.D. Martinez also had a two-hit game for New York, driving in two runs.
The Mets are 69-63 overall this season, and they are nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York is 3rd in the division and has gone 22-17 in divisional games. The Mets took the first game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks.
At home, the Mets are 35-33 this year, and they are above .500 at 34-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 43-35 this year, and they are 26-28 as the underdog. For the year, their series record is 21-16-8, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.3 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Mets this season is 67-61. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-17. In 32 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 24.2% of their games. In 58 games, the over/under line has been set below 8.5 runs, which accounts for 43.9% of their games.
Mets Gambling
The Mets have been a profitable team to back on the run line this season, as they are 63-69 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 35-29. They have covered the run line in three straight games and have been a good bet as an underdog, going 32-22 on the run line.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Their home and road splits are fairly consistent, with 5.0 runs per game on the road (6th) and 4.6 runs per game at home (13th). The Mets have hit 168 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor is hitting .270 with 27 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Alonso is hitting .245 with 28 home runs and 72 RBIs. Lindor has been hot lately, hitting .370 with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs over his last 6 games. Both Lindor and Alonso are currently on hitting streaks, with Lindor at 7 games and Alonso at 3 games.
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Arizona is 75-57 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks are 22-14 against other teams in the NL West. They will take on the Mets today with an overall series record of 24-14-4 this season.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 37-27 this season, and they have gone 38-30 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona is 41-25 this season, and they are 30-16 as the favorite at home. Arizona has dropped the first game of this series vs. the Mets and are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
The Diamondbacks have been a strong over team this season, with a 73-52 over/under record. Their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 28 of 45 games (62.2%).
Diamondbacks Gambling
When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 69-63, and they are 29-35 against the run line at home. They are 40-28 against the run line on the road, and they are 27-39 against the run line as the favorite.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in runs per game with 5.3. Their batting average of .261 is 2nd in the league, and their OBP of .334 and OPS of .767 are both elite. They have been especially strong at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been their top hitters this season, with Marte ranking 6th in the league with 30 home runs and 1st on the team with 81 RBI. Eugenio Suárez and Geraldo Perdomo have been hot at the plate recently, and Corbin Carroll is currently on a 6-game hitting streak.
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Mets Diamondbacks Pitching
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.84 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Severino pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. He ended up with the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .228 off Severino this season, and his WHIP is 1.24. Severino has one complete game shutout this year.
Eduardo Rodriguez will be making his third start of the season for the Diamondbacks, and it will be his first home start of the year. In his first two outings, he has a win and a no-decision, and he has struck out 10 batters in 10 1/3 innings of work. Rodriguez’s last start was a win against the Marlins, where he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just one earned run.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -126. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as we have the total runs hitting 11, and with the line sitting at 8.5, there is some room to work with.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and Luis Severino is projected to finish with six. Offensively, the Mets are projected to finish with nine strikeouts compared to the Diamondbacks with eight.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
A pair of blasts in the 7th. 💪 pic.twitter.com/4OJFAMX8Am
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) August 28, 2024
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