Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Diamondbacks on Monday, May 5th, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Diamondbacks free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(22-13) New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (18-16)
Date: Monday, May 5th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Griffin Canning vs. Ryne Nelson
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -112 | Diamondbacks -105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Diamondbacks +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Gameday
Griffin Canning will start for the Mets on Monday, as they look to snap a two-game losing streak. The Diamondbacks are 18-16 overall and Ryne Nelson on the mound. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and ARID is the slight money line favorite (-105).
The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the game will be televised on ARID. First pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET. The Mets are 22-13 and they are the slight favorite on the money line today at -112.
New York Mets
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Cardinals scored two runs in the bottom of the 4th. New York was the -160 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Tylor Megill got the start for the Mets and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on four hits. The Mets also issued three walks in thejson. Starling Marte was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with two RBIs and a run scored. The Mets also had three players with two hits.
The Mets come into today’s game vs. the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 22-13, which has them leading the NL East by 2.5 games over the Phillies. New York will be on the road today, and they are 9-10 on the road this season. They have been really tough to beat at home, going 13-3.
So far, the Mets have been really good against other NL East teams, putting up a record of 9-4. New York has yet to play a game as the favorite this year, and they are 6-4-1 in series this year, but they lost their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.
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Mets Stats
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 6th in the league, and are near the top of the league in home runs and on-base percentage.
Pete Alonso has been the Mets’ top hitter so far this season, batting .344 with 8 homers and 31 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Brandon Nimmo is 2nd on the team with 7 homers but is batting just .220 for the season. Over his last five games, Tyrone Taylor is hitting .538 with one home run.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with an 11-9 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the bottom of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.
Shelby Miller got the start for the Diamondbacks, picking up the win. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, but Arizona’s offense bailed him out, scoring 11 runs. Geraldo Perdomo was hot at the plate, going 4/5 with two doubles, three RBIs, and a run scored. The Diamondbacks also had three other players with two hits.
Arizona will open their series vs. the Mets at home, and they are 4th in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 18-16, and they lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-8 this year compared to 10-8 on the road. Arizona has been good as the underdog this year, putting together an 18-16 mark, and they have yet to be the favorite in a game. So far, their series record is 5-5-1, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
Diamondbacks Stats
Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the top offenses in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are 8th in home runs and have the 4th best slugging percentage in the league. The Diamondbacks are also one of the best teams in terms of plate discipline, as they are 2nd in walks and have the 6th best on-base percentage in the league.
Corbin Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo have been two of the Diamondbacks’ top hitters this season, with Carroll batting .281 with 9 homers and Perdomo hitting .292 with 5 homers. Perdomo has been especially hot of late, going 12/30 in his last nine games. Eugenio Suarez has struggled this season, hitting just .189, but he has four homers in his last nine games and has gone 9/34 in that stretch.
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Mets Diamondbacks Pitching
New York is sending right-hander Griffin Canning to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA. Canning has been pitching well recently, as he has won his last three starts. In his most recent outing, he didn’t give up a run in five innings of work vs. the Nationals. Canning has allowed just one earned run in each of his last three starts. Opponents are batting .246 vs. Canning this year, and his WHIP is 1.39.
Ryne Nelson has made seven appearances this season and has yet to make a start. His most recent outing came on April 29th vs. the Mets, where he went four innings out of the bullpen, giving up no earned runs on three hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 5.82, along with a record of 1-0. Opponents are batting .232 this season vs. Nelson. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.59 strikeouts and just 2.12 walks.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Diamondbacks ML -105
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -105. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-2. With the over/under sitting at 9.5 runs, there is a little bit of room between our predicted score and the line, but we like the Diamondbacks to pick up the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Griffin Canning is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him as the 11th best starter in terms of Ks. As for the Mets, they are projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which has them as the 10th most in the league.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Huge team win 😤 pic.twitter.com/nkk6lNcmft
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) May 4, 2025
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