Free MLB Pick: Twins vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Twins taking on the Padres on Monday, August 19th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Twins Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres
(70-54) Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres (70-55)
Date: Monday, August 19th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Zebby Matthews vs. Michael King
MLB Moneyline Odds: Twins +134 | Padres -159 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Twins +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Twins vs. Padres Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in San Diego, as the Padres host the Twins in an interleague matchup. First pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET at PETCO Park, with the game airing on FS1. The Padres are slight favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -159 compared to the Twins at +134.
On the mound for the Twins is Zebby Matthews, while the Padres will counter with Michael King. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -103 compared to the under at -118.
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 70-54 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL Central, two games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins are 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. They are coming off a series win over the Rangers and have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Twins have gone 36-24 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 55-31 this season, and they are 15-23 as the underdog. So far, they have been good in series with a record of 24-13-3, and they have won two straight series.
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rangers scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Minnesota was the -108 favorite on the money line going into the game.
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Pablo Lopez was excellent for the Twins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out three. However, the Twins couldn’t close things out, and Jhoan Duran took the loss out of the bullpen. Ryan Jeffers had a big game at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Twins Gambling
The Minnesota Twins have played in 78 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 62.9% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 63-57. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-14.
The Twins have been a solid run line bet this season, going 62-62 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 35-29 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 21-17 as underdogs this season.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins have been solid offensively this season, ranking 7th in runs per game at 4.9. Their home offense has been particularly strong, as they are 4th in the league in runs per game at home with 5.1. The Twins’ batting average of .252 is 7th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .429 is 6th. Carlos Santana has been one of the Twins’ top hitters this season, with 18 home runs and 55 RBI. However, he’s struggled in his last 5 games, hitting just .188. The Twins will look to get their offense going against a tough opponent.
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San Diego Padres
With a record of 70-55, the Padres are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego will take on the Twins at home today, and they are 20-20 in divisional games this year. The Padres will be looking to bounce back today after dropping two of three games in their series vs. the Rockies.
At home, the Padres have gone 33-29 this year and have been really good on the road at 37-26. As the favorite, San Diego is 44-33 and 26-22 as the underdog. The Padres have won five straight games at home, and their overall record is 25-14-3 in series this year.
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Rockies scored a run in the bottom of the 8th. San Diego was the -198 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Joe Musgrove got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up just one run on three hits. However, he issued two walks and was pulled from the game. The Padres also wasted a big game from Manny Machado, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/4.
Padres Gambling
San Diego Padres games have had an average of 9.0 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is 66-58. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-21. The Padres have played 75 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 60.0% of their games. They have played just 10 games with over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs, which is 8.0% of their games.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 41-22. The Padres are 24-38 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of -0.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home and are 33-15 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been one of the best hitting teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .266. Their offense has been especially potent on the road, where they are averaging 5.0 runs per game, good for 4th in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Jurickson Profar, who leads the team in batting average at .291 and RBI with 73, and Manny Machado, who leads the team with 19 home runs. David Peralta has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .389 over his last 10 games. The Padres have a few players on hitting streaks, including Jackson Merrill, who has a 3-game hitting streak.
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Twins Padres Pitching
Zebby Matthews and the Twins are on the road to take on the Padres. Matthews started the season with a win at home against the Royals, going 5 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. He struck out 5 and gave up 1 home run.
Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 10-6 and an ERA of 3.19. So far this year, he has made 23 starts, and opponents are batting .218 off him. King has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.71 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King was dominant, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished with 10 strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Twins head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Twins they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Twins are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Padres matchup is that the Padres will pick up a 6-5 win at home. If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, we would recommend taking the Padres on the money line, where the payout is at -159.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Michael King is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which ranks him seventh among all starters. As for Zebby Matthews, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him at ninth among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Manny sent that one a Mile High 🚀 pic.twitter.com/AefcaI3aUP
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) August 18, 2024
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