Free MLB Pick: Twins vs. Royals Odds
Looking for Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Twins taking on the Royals on Saturday, September 7th, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Twins Royals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals
(76-65) Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals (77-65)
Date: Saturday, September 7th
Time: 7:15 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Bailey Ober vs. Alec Marsh
MLB Moneyline Odds: Twins -141 | Royals +120 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Twins -1.5 | Royals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Twins vs. Royals Gameday
At 7:15 PM ET in Kansas City, MO, the Royals will host the Twins in an AL Central showdown. The pitching matchup features Bailey Ober for the Twins against Alec Marsh for the Royals. The Twins are currently favored with a money line of -141 compared to the Royals at +120.
FOX will have the TV coverage for this matchup, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The current odds have the over and under both at -110. The Twins are looking to keep pace in the AL Central, where they currently sit in 3rd place, while the Royals are trying to chase down the White Sox in 2nd place.
Thanks to a six-inning, four-hit performance from Cole Ragans, the Royals cruised to a 5-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -141 on the money line.
Ragans finished the game with seven strikeouts and didn’t give up a run or a home run. He issued just one walk and got plenty of run support, as the Royals scored five of their seven runs in the 5th and 6th innings.
Michael Massey was the only Royals hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 3/3 with a home run. Hunter Renfroe also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
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Minnesota is 3rd in the AL Central, five games behind the Guardians for the division lead. Overall, the Twins are 76-65, and they have gone 28-18 against other teams in the division. The Twins are looking to pick up a win today, as they are 4.5 games behind the Royals for the 2nd spot in the division.
At home, the Twins have gone 39-30 this season, and they are just above .500 at 37-35 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 60-37 and 28-14 as the favorite on the road. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-16-4, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8 runs per game. The Twins have played in 55 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 39.0% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 71-65, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 12-17-4.
Twins Gambling
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 66-75 overall. The Twins have been a better bet on the road, where they are 37-35 against the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game this season, and they have been a better bet as an underdog, going 23-21 against the run line in those games.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Their home offense has been slightly better, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have a good slugging percentage of .423, which ranks 7th in the league. Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the top power hitters for the Twins this season, as they both have 20 home runs, which is tied for 1st on the team. Carlos Santana has been struggling a bit recently, hitting .219 over his last 10 games, but Jose Miranda has been hot, hitting .333 over his last 10 games.
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Kansas City is 77-65 overall and 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 4.5 games. The Royals are 31-16 in divisional games this season. They have won two straight games, and their two most recent wins have come in this series vs. the Twins. So far, they have gone 20-22-2 in series this year.
At home, the Royals are 43-30 this season and 34-35 on the road. As the underdog, the Royals are 32-39 this year, and they are 45-26 when favored. Kansas City has dropped six straight games as the underdog. Their overall record is a result of going just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season. The Royals have played in 88 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 62.0% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 64-73, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 14-12-3. Kansas City has hit the under in their last two games.
Royals Gambling
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 78-64, with a run line record of 41-32 at home and 37-32 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 37-34 against the run line as the favorite and 41-30 as the underdog.
Royals Stats
When the Kansas City Royals are at home, they are a top offensive team. They are 3rd in the league in runs per game at home with 5.1. Their batting average is 5th in the league at .254, and they are 9th in slugging percentage at .418. Their top hitters for the season are Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, and Vinnie Pasquantino. Witt Jr. is hitting .337 with 30 home runs and 97 RBI. Salvador Perez is hitting .271 with 25 home runs and 94 RBI. Vinnie Pasquantino is hitting .262 with 19 home runs and 97 RBI. Witt Jr. has struggled a bit in his last 10 games, hitting .205 with 3 home runs and 3 RBI. Tommy Pham is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Twins Royals Pitching
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.95. Opposing batters are hitting .207 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.02. Ober’s last outing came on September 1st vs. the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Ober has one complete game and 16 quality starts this season.
Kansas City is sending right-hander Alec Marsh to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with a 4.70 ERA. Marsh’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Marsh has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Looking back further, he has made five straight starts, giving up at least one homer in each outing.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Twins head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Twins they are 2-8 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Royals are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Royals have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Twins are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Royals have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Twins vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at +120. With the payout, we have the Royals winning this one 9-5. As for the Twins, they are actually the favorites to win this one, but at -141, we don’t see enough value in that payout.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, Alec Marsh of the Royals is actually a better option to pick up a win than Bailey Ober. Marsh is projected to go seven innings, while Ober is projected to go just six.
Offensively, the Twins are projected to hit more home runs than the Royals, but the Royals are projected to strike out fewer times.
I love the OVER in this one too!
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Series-opening shutout.#HEYHEYHEYHEY pic.twitter.com/rBQYJYbIE2
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) September 7, 2024
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