Free MLB Pick: Twins vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Twins taking on the Astros on Friday, May 31st, 2024 at Minute Maid Park, in Houston, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Twins Astros free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros
(31-25) Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros (25-32)
Date: Friday, May 31st
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park Houston, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Pablo López vs. Ronel Blanco
MLB Moneyline Odds: Twins -105 | Astros -114 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Twins -1.5 | Astros +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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At 8:10 PM ET in Houston, the Astros are set to host the Twins in an AL matchup at Minute Maid Park. The Twins are slight underdogs, with a money line payout of -105 compared to the Astros at -114. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -105.
On the mound for the Twins is Pablo López, while the Astros will counter with Ronel Blanco. The Twins come into this game with a record of 31-25, which has them sitting in 3rd place in the AL Central. The Astros are 25-32 this season, which has them in 3rd place in the AL West.
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 31-25 overall and trails the Guardians by six games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in the division. The Twins are on the road today, where they are 15-12 this year. They have been good at home, going 16-13.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 25-13 and are 6-12 as the underdog. Minnesota has won two straight on the road, and their overall series record is 10-6-2. They have also won three straight series.
Ryan Jeffers had a big game at the plate for the Twins in their most recent game vs. the Royals, going 2/3 with two homers and three RBIs. The Twins really needed his offense, as they only picked up three other hits in the 7-6 win. Minnesota was the heavy favorite at -160 going into the game.
Chris Paddack got the start for the Twins, going 5 2/3 innings, and took the win. He did give up four runs on five hits and issued two walks. The Twins’s bullpen was able to close things out, and Jhoan Duran picked up the save.
Twins Gambling
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Twins’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 25-29. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-7-2. So far this season, 37.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 39.3% have had lines set lower than 8 runs.
When the Twins win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.1 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.1 runs per game, and their run line record is 26-30. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 15-12 compared to 11-18 at home.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season, which ranks 11th in the league. Their offense has been more productive on the road, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, good for 4th in the league. Their home runs total of 60 is 9th in the league, and their ISO of .162 is 4th best. Looking at some of their top hitters, Ryan Jeffers has been a standout this season, hitting .254 with 12 home runs and 36 RBI. Willi Castro is hitting .263 with 16 RBI, and he is currently on a 4-game hitting streak. Carlos Santana has 7 home runs and 22 RBI on the season.
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Houston Astros
Houston is 25-32 overall and 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 5.5 games. The Astros lost three straight games to close out their series vs. the Mariners. So far, they have gone 13-11 in divisional games.
At home, the Astros are 14-15 compared to 11-17 on the road. This year, they have really struggled as the favorite, going 19-25. As for their record as the underdog, they are 6-7 and 1-3 as the home underdog. Houston’s series record is 8-9-1 this year, and they have yet to win a series.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Mariners with a 4-0 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at +114 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning for the Astros, as they scored two runs in the inning, and added another two runs in the 5th to put things out of reach. Houston’s offense was carried by Alex Bregman, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Spencer Arrighetti got the start for the Astros, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out eight Mariners batters. Houston’s bullpen closed things out with three scoreless innings, and the Astros picked up the win.
Astros Gambling
When the Houston Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.9 runs per game. The Astros have an over/under record of 21-33, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 1-1-1. Overall, 77.2% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, with 44 games having higher lines and 10 games having lower lines. The under has hit in their last six games.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just 23-34 overall and 12-17 at home. They are 11-17 vs. the run line on the road and 16-28 as the favorite.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season. They lead the league in batting average at .259 and have the fewest strikeouts per game at 6. Their home runs total of 67 is 5th best in the league. The Astros have been particularly strong at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th best in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Kyle Tucker, who leads the team in batting average and on-base percentage, and Jose Altuve, who is currently on a 5-game hitting streak. Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat, hitting .276 with 2 home runs in his last 7 games.
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Twins Astros Pitching
Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 5.25. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .256 this year. Lopez’s WHIP for the season is 1.17. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings, and giving up six earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts, but he did have a stretch where he won two straight starts. One positive note is that he has five quality starts this year.
Ronel Blanco is getting the start for the Astros today and comes in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.99. So far, he has made nine starts and six of them have been quality starts. Blanco has one complete game shutout this year. In his last outing, Blanco went seven innings, giving up just one earned run on six hits. He finished with four walks and one homer allowed in the outing. Blanco has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.13 compared to 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA at home.
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Twins head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Twins they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Astros are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Astros have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Twins are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Astros have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -114. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-1, and with the payout being better than even money, this is the route we recommend going.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ronel Blanco finishing with five strikeouts compared to Pablo Lopez with five as well. However, we have Lopez going for more innings, and Blanco is projected to have a higher ERA.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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