Free MLB Pick: Twins vs Tigers Odds
Looking for Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers free picks? MLB betting sees the Twins taking on the Tigers on Tuesday, May 17th at Comerica Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(10-27) Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers (17-21)
Date: Tuesday May 17, 2016
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Projected Pitchers: Phil Hughes vs Mike Pelfrey
MLB Moneyline Odds: Detroit -117
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: 9.5
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The game features two starting pitchers who have combined for one win on the year and both have ERA’s over 5.75. The offense matchup favors the Tigers, but I expect Minnesota to at least be able to put up runs against Pelfrey.
Minnesota has an abysmal 10-27 record entering today’s game in Detroit.
While they have only put up 30 runs and 2 wins in their past 10 games, they enter a friendly matchup in facing Mike Pelfrey and his 5.80 ERA.
Slugger Miguel Sano has finally picked up his power output, slugging 3 HRs in his past 25 ABs, with all 3 coming against righties. Bung-Ho Park has been a pleasant surprise after coming over from overseas in the off-season, leading the Twins in homeruns with 9.
Phil Hughes has been terrible so far this year, putting up an ERA of 12.27 over his past 3 starts and a season figure of 6.44. His WHIP sits at 1.43 and he only has earned one Win on the year, although this is one more than his counterpart Pelfrey.
He’s in tough against an offense that features the AL leader in Average in Nick Castellanos, and Victor Martinez who sits in 3rd in the same category.
Coming into the year, the Tigers were supposed to have a formidable offense that was led by the likes of Miguel Cabrera, Justin Upton, JD Martinez and Ian Kinsler.
While most of the aforementioned have been fine, the best 2 hitters for Detroit have arguably been Nick Castellanos and his .348 average and 8 HRs, and Victor Martinez who sports a .338, .397 OBP, 5 HR and 21 RBI.
Their efforts have help make up for Justin Upton’s dreadful start, who has struck out at an absurd rate thus far, racking up 62 K’s in 152 at bats on the year.
The big free agent signee has not has a smooth start to his Tigers career after signing the 6-year deal worth $132.75-million this past offseason. Detroit may already be looking towards the buyout option after the second season if things don’t improve.
He has a good shot at improving his number against SP Phil Hughes, who has recorded a 12.27 ERA in his past 3 starts.
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The Tigers will send Mike Pelfrey to the hill, who carries a 5.80 ERA on the year and has whiffed just 20 batters.
He is coming off of a start where he allowed just 2 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings against a solid Baltimore lineup, so maybe things are on their way up… but I wouldn’t count on it.
He has a 1.85 WHIP on the year, a 7.04 ERA at home this year and a record of just 1-6. Simply put, Pelfrey is just not a great pitcher at this point in his career.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 games
- Over the past 3 seasons (2013-15) Pelfrey has an 11-27 record and a 4.94 ERA
- The Tigers are hitting .268 against RHP this year
- Hughes has allowed 4 ER in 5 IP vs Detroit this year.
- the Twins are 2-8 in their past 10
Free Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers MLB Prediction:
The Tigers and the Twins have both been poor in their past 10 games, and both are sending bad pitchers to the mound. I’d lean towards Detroit for the W considering Minnesota’s past 10 games.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Game total over 9.5 and Detroit ML
At the same time, I’ve doubled my interest in the game and am looking at the Hughes- Pelfrey matchup and I’m taking the over 9.5 line for -117.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Detroit 7-5
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