Free MLB Pick: Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Twins taking on the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, June 25th, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Twins Diamondbacks free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(43-35) Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (38-40)
Date: Tuesday, June 25th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Joe Ryan vs. Brandon Pfaadt
MLB Moneyline Odds: Twins -125 | Diamondbacks +105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Twins -1.5 | Diamondbacks +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Twins vs. Diamondbacks Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET, the Minnesota Twins will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in an interleague matchup at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. The Twins are favored in this one, with a money line of -125 compared to the Diamondbacks’ +105.
Joe Ryan will take the mound for the Twins, while Brandon Pfaadt will get the start for the Diamondbacks. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -105 compared to the under at -115.
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 43-35 overall, putting them eight games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. They have gone 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. This year, they have been good at home, going 23-16 and are just above .500 at 20-19 on the road.
As the favorite, the Twins have put together a record of 34-19 this year, and they are 9-16 as the underdog. Minnesota has an overall series record of 14-9-2 this year, and they won their most recent series vs. the Athletics.
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Heading into their last game vs. the Athletics, the Twins closed out the series with a 3-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -179. Offensively, the Twins only scored their three runs on six hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Pablo Lopez put together a great start for the Twins, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out 14 Athletics batters. Byron Buxton was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Twins also had three other players with a hit.
Twins Gambling
Minnesota’s over/under record is 36-40, and the combined run average in their games is 9.1. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Twins are 5-11-2. This season, 42.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Minnesota is 35-43 against the run line this season, but they have been better on the road, going 20-19. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 23-30 against the run line as the favorite.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 8th in runs per game with 4.7. Their home and road splits are fairly consistent, with 4.9 runs per game on the road and 4.5 at home. They have hit 92 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league. Their team batting average of .247 is 9th in the league, and their OPS of .738 ranks 6th. The Twins have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, with Willi Castro hitting .378 over his last 9 games, and Royce Lewis hitting .312 with 5 home runs over his last 8 games. Byron Buxton, Willi Castro, and Ryan Jeffers are all currently on hitting streaks.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 38-40 overall, and they are looking to pick up a win today as they trail the Dodgers by 10 games in the NL West. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks lost the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 19-18 this season compared to a road record of 19-22. As the underdog, Arizona is 18-24 this year, which includes losing two straight as the underdog. They are 20-16 when favored and have an overall series record of 10-12-3.
The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 4-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Arizona was the +197 underdog going into this road game.
Slade Cecconi got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up one earned run, and Arizona’s bullpen couldn’t close things out. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Diamondbacks Gambling
Arizona’s games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, but when the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the over has hit at a 7-2-1 clip. Overall, the Diamondbacks have played to a 37-39 over/under record this season, with the average line set at 9 runs. In 71.8% of their games, the line has been set higher than 8 runs, while in 15.4% of their games, the line has been set lower than 8 runs.
Arizona is 37-41 against the run line this season, including a 16-21 mark at home. The Diamondbacks have been favored in 36 games and have gone 14-22 against the run line in those contests. They are 23-19 against the run line as the underdog. Arizona’s average run differential in games they have won is +4.3, while it is -4.2 in losses.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 7th in runs per game with 4.7. Their batting average of .251 is 6th in the league, and their OBP of .321 is 6th. They have been getting on base and hitting well, but their home run total of 77 is 15th in the league. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been two of their top hitters this season, with Walker leading the team in home runs and RBI. In terms of recent performances, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is on a 5-game hitting streak and has been hitting .400 over his last 8 games.
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Twins Diamondbacks Pitching
Through 15 starts, Joe Ryan has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.13. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Leading up to that start, Ryan had lost three straight outings. His ERA at home is 3.83, compared to 2.72 on the road. Ryan’s WHIP for the season is currently .96, and opponents are batting .208 off the right-hander this year.
Arizona is sending right-hander Brandon Pfaadt to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.37. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Pfaadt has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has a total of 11 homers allowed this season.
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Twins head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Twins they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Twins are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
With the Diamondbacks at +105 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick for today’s Twins vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Our predicted final score is 8-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks, giving us a lot of value with them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brandon Pfaadt finishing with five strikeouts compared to Joe Ryan with five. However, we have Ryan finishing with more earned runs, and his Twins finishing with fewer home runs than Pfaadt and the Diamondbacks.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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