Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Pirates Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(43-33-0) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (29-45-0)
Date: Thursday, June 30th
Time: 07:05 ETPM ET
Venue: PNC Park Pittsburgh
Projected Pitchers: Jason Alexander vs. JT Brubaker
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers -140 Pirates 117
MLB run line Betting Odds: Brewers +1.5, Pirates -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
Milwaukee Brewers
Heading into the game, the Milwaukee Brewers have an overall record of 43-33-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 25-18. In the NL Central division, Milwaukee currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 34-43-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 84.0% of their games. The Brewers’ over-under record is 38-34-5.
For Milwaukee, Jason Alexander gets the start with an overall record of 2-0. His current ERA sits at 3.45, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.7 innings per outing, as well as 4.08 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 4.08 per 9. In total, Alexander has given up 1 home run.
Throughout the season, the Brewers have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 3.47.
So far, the Milwaukee Brewers have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.43 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 20.0. The Brewers head into the game ranked just 23rd in team batting average. On their balls in play, Milwaukee has the 5th ranked BABIP of 0.286. With runners on base, the Brewers are averaging just 0.72 stolen bases per game.
Milwaukee has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.58 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays at a rate below the league average, at 0.72 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Pittsburgh Pirates have an overall record of 29-45-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 17-20. In the NL Central division, Pittsburgh currently sits 3rd So far, the team has gone 35-40-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 23.0% of their games. The Piratess’ over-under record is 30-38-7.
For Pittsburgh, JT Brubaker gets the start with an overall record of 1-7. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 4.14. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.07 innings per outing. as well as 9.0 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.67 per 9. In total, Brubaker has given up 9 home runs.
So far, the Pirates bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.34.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Pittsburgh Pirates, as they are averaging just 3.59 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -102.0. The Pirates head into the game ranked just 28th in team batting average. Pittsburgh combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.241. Placing them below average. In terms of stolen bases, the Pirates are doing so near the league average, at 0.78 per game.
Pittsburgh has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.74 per game. During the season, the team is averaging 0.78 double plays per game.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
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Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, Brewers pitcher Jason Alexander holds the edge in ERA, but JT Brubaker has the lower WHIP at 1.43. I expect a strong performance from Jason Alexander, as the Pirates offense is ranked just 28th. JT Brubaker, has an excellent matchup against a Brewers offense ranked just 23rd.
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