Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Pirates Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Brewers taking on the Pirates on Wednesday, 8/3/2022 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Brewers Pirates free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(57-46) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (41-62)
Date: Wednesday, 8/3/2022
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Projected Pitchers: Freddy Peralta (MIL) vs. Tyler Beede (PIT)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers -205 / Pirates +175
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Brewers -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8
The Brewers visit the Pirates Wednesday night for Game 2 of this 3 game series. The Brewers will be pitching Freddy Peralta and the Pirates will be sending Zach Thompson to the mound for this NL Central battle.
UPDATE: The Pirates changed starting pitchers and will be throwing Tyler Beede in this game. Beede won’t pitch deep so the Pirates are using this game as a bullpen game.
Milwaukee Brewers
Freddy Peralta is coming off the 60-day IL list to make his first start since May. He was on the IL with a shoulder injury. He made 3 rehab starts in Triple-A, pitching to a 1.69 ERA in 5.1 innings of work. We shouldn’t expect him to pitch too deep into this game and will for sure be on a pitch count.
On the season, Freddy is 3-2 with a 4.42 ERA in 8 starts. In his last start, he gave up 5 earned runs in 3 innings, but was put on the IL right after this start. Peralta’s bread and butter pitch is going to be his fastball. He was throwing around 93 MPH so far this season, so that is the pitch and MPH to watch during this game.
The Brewers as a team are 5th in OBP vs. righties and 9th in BA vs. righties. The top players to look at props wise would be Willy Adames and Christian Yelich. Career stats against Thompson; Adames is 4-7 with 4 singles and 1 walk and Yelich is 3-6 with a HR and 2 walks.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Zach Thompson was pretty awful to say the least in the month of July. He was 0-3 with a 6.33 ERA in 5 starts during the month. He is coming into this start giving up 7 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts.
Thompson has a 3-8 record with a 5.09 ERA on the season. His xERA is 5.38 and that puts him in the bottom 9% of the league in that category. Thompson is 0-2 in his 3 starts vs the Brewers and in his 2 starts vs them in July, he only gave up 2 earned in each start.
As a team, the Pirates rank 28th in both BA and OBP vs righties this season. The top players to look at props wise on the Pirates would be Bryan Reynolds and Kevin Newman. Career stats against Peralta; Reynolds is 7-16 with 5 singles and 3 walks and Newman is 5-11 with 2 doubles and a triple.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 4-0 in Thompsons last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 0-5 in Thompsons last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Pittsburgh.
- Brewers are 42-17 in the last 59 meetings.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Prediction:
Zach Thompson has been really bad of late and we have no clue how much Freddy Peralta we will get. The Brewers have been strong against the Pirates in the recent past and I don’t see this stopping now. I’m going to take the Brewers -1.5 full game run line and trust Peralta to give 4 good innings of work.
4* Free MLB Pick: Brewers -1.5 run line
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