Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Brewers taking on the Yankees on Thursday, March 27th, 2024 at Yankee Stadium, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Brewers Yankees free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees
(0-0) Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Yankees (0-0)
Date: Thursday, March 27th
Time: 3:05 ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Freddy Peralta vs. Carlos Rodón
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers +130 | Yankees -154 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Brewers +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Brewers vs. Yankees Gameday
Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Brewers and Yankees is set for 3:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. Carlos Rodon is set to start for the Yankees, while the Brewers are going with Freddy Peralta. New York is the favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -154, while the Brewers are at +130.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on ESPN. Milwaukee comes into the game with a record of 1-1, while the Yankees have yet to play a game.
Brewers
The Brewers are coming off a season in which they were the top team in the NL Central with a record of 93-69. In the post-season, they lost in the Wild Card round to the Mets (2-1). Today, they are the underdog against the Yankees, with a money line of +130.
Last season, Milwaukee had an overall series record of 29-18-4. At home, they went 14-9-2 in series play, while going 15-9-2 on the road. In the National League, the Brewers finished in 3rd place and were the top team in the NL Central.
Last season, the Brewers were the underdog in all 162 games they played. They had a run line record of 93-69, outscoring opponents by an average of 0.8 runs per game. Their run line record was identical at home and on the road, going 47-34 in both situations. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.6 runs per game compared to -2.9 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line.
When looking at last year’s O/U record for the Brewers, they finished with a record of 81-71. On average, their games had an O/U line of 8.3 runs per game. In games with an O/U line of 7.5, the over/under record was 23-16. Last season, 59.9% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs. Overall, their games had a combined average of 8.8 runs per game.
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Brewers Stats
Last season, the Brewers’ offense was one of the best in the league, ranking 6th in runs per game at 4.8. They were also one of the best teams at getting on base, finishing 4th in on-base percentage (.326) and 3rd in walks. On the road, they were the 6th best scoring offense at 5.0 runs per game, compared to 4.5 runs per game at home. At home, they struggled with a batting average of .230, but on the road, they hit .248. Overall, they were 14th in home runs and 7th in batting average.
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New York Yankees
The Yankees are coming off a season where they finished with the best record in the American League at 94-68. In the World Series, they fell to the Dodgers in five games. Today, they are favored on the money line at -154.
Last season, the Yankees went 61-45 in night games and 33-23 in day games. In the AL-East, they finished in first place with a record of 26-26. On the road, the Yankees were an impressive 50-31 compared to 44-37 at home.
In the series, the Yankees went 30-17-4 overall. On the road, they went 17-8-1 compared to 13-9-3 at home.
As the underdog last season, the Yankees went 94-68.
At home last season, the Yankees had an average run differential of +.4 runs per game. Overall, they outscored their opponents by an average of +.9 runs per contest. For the season, New York’s run line record was 94-68, including 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +4.1 runs per contest compared to -3.5 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line.
When looking at the Yankees’ over/under record from last season, they finished with a record of 86-71. On average, their games had an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and 85.2% of their games had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs. In games with an O/U line of 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 8-10. Last season, their games averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game, and 59.9% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs. Overall, the Yankees accounted for 55.0% of the runs in their games.
Yankees Stats
Last season, the Yankees were one of the most powerful offenses in the league, leading the MLB with 237 home runs. Overall, they averaged 5.0 runs per game, which was 3rd best in the league. On the road, they were actually slightly better, averaging 5.3 runs per game (3rd). For the season, they were 7th in batting average (.248) and struck out the 11th fewest times. Their ability to draw walks was a major strength, leading the league in that category. At home, they hit .241 (14th) compared to .246 on the road.
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Freddy Peralta is coming off a season in which he went 11-9 in 32 starts. His ERA for the year was 3.68, and he finished the season with 11 quality starts. Peralta’s WHIP for the year was 1.22, and he gave up a total of 26 home runs. Opponents hit .224 off Peralta, and his FIP for the year was 4.16. On the season, Peralta averaged 10.36 strikeouts per nine innings and 3.52 walks per nine innings.
Carlos Rodón is coming off a season in which he made 32 starts and went 16-9. His ERA for the year was 3.96, and he finished with a WHIP of 1.22. Opposing batters hit .234 against him, and his FIP for the season was 4.39. Rodón gave up a total of 31 home runs and finished the year with 16 quality starts. His strikeouts per nine innings was 10.03, and he averaged 2.93 walks per nine innings. For the season, Rodón averaged 1.8 walks per game.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Brewers head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Brewers they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Yankees are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Yankees have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Brewers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Yankees have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Brewers vs. Yankees Prediction: Brewers ML +130
With the money line sitting at +130 for the Brewers, we see this as a great opportunity to take the Brewers to pick up a win on the road. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, giving you a couple of different ways to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Freddy Peralta finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for ninth among starters. As for Carlos Rodón, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which has him 14th among starters.
