Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Twins Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Brewers taking on the Twins on Saturday, July 20th, 2024 at Target Field, in Minnesota, MN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Brewers Twins free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins
(55-42) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins (54-42)
Date: Saturday, July 20th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Target Field Minneapolis, MN
Projected Starting Pitchers: Freddy Peralta vs. Pablo López
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers +104 | Twins -123 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Brewers +1.5 | Twins -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Brewers vs. Twins Gameday
At 7:10 PM ET in Minneapolis, MN, the Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Minnesota Twins in an interleague matchup at Target Field. The weather forecast is calling for 78 degrees with light rain, so it could be a wet one for these two teams.
On the mound for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, while the Twins will counter with Pablo López. The Twins are currently favored in this one, with a money line payout of -123 compared to the Brewers at +104. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -116 compared to the under at -105.
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 55-42 overall and leads the NL Central by 4.5 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers lost two of three games in their series vs. the Nationals. Currently, they are 21-12 in divisional games this year.
As the road team today, the Brewers are 26-25 this season compared to 29-17 at home. So far, they have been a good favorite, going 33-21, and they are 22-21 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 17-11-3, but they have dropped three straight series.
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Brewers closed out the series with a 9-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -148. Offensively, the Brewers scored their nine runs on jsonly 12 hits and three home runs. Willy Adames went 4/4 with a homer and four RBIs.
Rob Zastryzny got the start for the Brewers but only lasted 1 1/3 innings. He didn’t give up a run, but the Nationals pulled him early. Colin Rea picked up the win out of the bullpen and tossed 3 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball.
Brewers Gambling
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Milwaukee has a 52-41 over/under record this season, and when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over 14 times and under 5 times. Overall, 75.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, which has helped them to a 50-47 run line record. They are 28-15 against the run line as an underdog, and they have covered in two straight games as the underdog.
Brewers Stats
When looking at the Milwaukee Brewers’ offensive numbers, they have been solid this season. Their batting average of .255 ranks 3rd in the league, and their OBP of .333 is the best in the MLB. Their runs per game at home is 5.1, which is 5th in the league. Their top hitters for the season include Willy Adames, who is hitting .246 with 15 home runs and 67 RBI. Rhys Hoskins has struggled recently, hitting .172 over his last 8 games. Willy Adames is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by five games. The Twins’ overall record is 54-42 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Brewers, and they are 19-13 against other teams in the division. Minnesota will host the Brewers with an overall record of 27-18 at home and 27-24 on the road.
As the favorite, the Twins have been good this year, putting together a record of 44-24. They are just 10-18 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Twins are 19-10-2 this year, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Giants.
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Minnesota closed out their series vs. the Giants with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Giants scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. The Twins were the +135 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Chris Paddack put together a good start for the Twins, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Twins’ bullpen couldn’t close things out, and Jhoan Duran took the loss. The Twins also wasted a big game from Manuel Margot, who went 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored.
Twins Gambling
The Minnesota Twins are playing at home today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Twins have played 24 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 13-11. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-47 for the season.
When it comes to betting the run line, the Twins have been a better bet on the road this season, going 28-23 compared to 18-27 at home. Overall, they are 46-50 against the run line, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game. They have been favored in 68 games, going 31-37 against the run line, while they are 15-13 as underdogs. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6 runs per game, while it is -3.5 runs per game in losses.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins have been solid offensively this season, ranking 7th in runs per game with 4.9. Their batting average of .254 is 4th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .428 is 3rd. They are getting good production from Carlos Correa, who is hitting .308 with 13 home runs and 47 RBI this season. Correa is on a 4-game hitting streak and has been hot at the plate, going 6 for 17 in his last 5 games. The Twins will look to continue their strong offensive performance as they take on the next opponent.
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Brewers Twins Pitching
Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that July 12th start, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Peralta has finished with a no-decision, a win, and a loss. His ERA for the season is 4.11, along with a record of 6-5. Peralta has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 11.36 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 14 homers and is averaging 3.15 walks per nine innings.
Pablo López will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the White Sox, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and one homer. Looking back further, López had picked up the win in two straight outings before that. His record for the season is 8-7, and he has an ERA of 5.11. Out of his 19 starts, López has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.47 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 18 homers. At home, his ERA is 6.21 compared to 5.6 on the road.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Brewers head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Brewers they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Twins are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Twins have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Brewers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Twins have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Based on the money line, we like the Brewers to pick up a win on the road against the Twins. You can get the Brewers at +104, and our predicted final score is 4-3 in favor of the Brewers.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta has a better chance to pick up a win than Pablo Lopez, and we have Peralta finishing with six strikeouts compared to Lopez with six as well.
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