Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Cubs Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Brewers taking on the Cubs on Monday, July 22nd, 2024 at Wrigley Field, in Chicago, IL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Brewers Cubs free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
(57-42) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs (48-53)
Date: Monday, July 22nd
Time: 8:05 ET
Venue: Wrigley Field Chicago, IL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tobias Myers vs. Javier Assad
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers -114 | Cubs -105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Brewers -1.5 | Cubs +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Brewers vs. Cubs Gameday
At 8:05 PM ET in Chicago, the Brewers and Cubs are set to square off in an NL Central showdown. The Brewers are favored on the road, with a money line payout of -114 compared to the Cubs’ -105.
Looking at the over/under line, oddsmakers have set the total runs at 8, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -106. Tobias Myers will take the mound for the Brewers, while Javier Assad will get the start for the Cubs.
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is on a three-game winning streak as they are 57-42 overall this season. The Brewers hold a five-game lead in the NL Central over the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 21-12 in divisional games. The Brewers have won three straight on the road, and they are 28-25 on the road this season.
As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 33-21 this season and 24-21 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 18-10-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with an 8-7 win. After allowing two runs to the Twins in the 2nd inning, the Brewers responded with a three-run 3rd. Milwaukee went on to add another three runs in the 5th inning.
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Aaron Civale had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on four hits and issuing four walks. The Brewers’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, though, as they closed things out with three scoreless innings. Jared Koenig got the win out of the bullpen, and Trevor Megill picked up the save.
Brewers Gambling
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Chicago Cubs, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 54-41. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 6-6-1. In 60.6% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at more than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 4 games.
When betting the run line on the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s been a profitable strategy overall, as they are 52-47 on the run line this season. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 29-24. They have covered the run line in three straight games and have an average run margin of +0.8 on the road this season.
Brewers Stats
The Milwaukee Brewers have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which ranks 6th in the league. Their batting average of .255 is 4th in the MLB, and their OBP of .332 is 2nd in the league. They have been patient at the plate, ranking 3rd in walks. However, their power numbers are below average, as they rank 16th in total home runs and 16th in ISO. Willy Adames has been one of their top hitters this season, with a .332 OBP and 15 home runs. He is currently on a 5-game hitting streak. Christian Yelich has also been a key contributor, hitting .320 with a .405 OBP. Eric Haase and Willy Adames have been hot at the plate in their last few games.
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Chicago Cubs
With a record of 48-53, the Cubs are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. So far, they have gone just 12-21 in divisional matchups. Chicago will host the Brewers today and are 26-23 at home this season.
Chicago has gone 22-30 on the road this season. The Cubs dropped two of three in their series vs. the Diamondbacks. They are 6-4 across their last 10 games and have an overall series record of 10-18-3 this year.
Heading into their last game vs. the Diamondbacks, the Cubs closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to the the game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a good thing the Cubs were at home, as they needed extra innings to pick up the win, and the Diamondbacks could only score one run. Chicago’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning.
Shota Imanaga put together a good start for the Cubs, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out 10 Diamondbacks batters. Héctor Neris closed things out in the 10th, picking up the save.
Cubs Gambling
Chicago Cubs games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-54. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they are 3-13-1. Overall, 50.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at three games.
When betting the run line on the Cubs, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 31-21 compared to 18-31 at home. They are 36-19 against the run line as the underdog, but just 13-33 as the favorite. The Cubs’ average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, but it’s been 3.3 in their wins and -3.2 in their losses.
Cubs Stats
The Chicago Cubs have struggled to score runs this season, ranking 23rd in the league with 4.1 runs per game. Their batting average of .233 is 20th in the league, and their total of 100 home runs is 19th. However, the Cubs have been patient at the plate, ranking 5th in walks. Nico Hoerner has been one of the Cubs’ top hitters this season, batting .258 with 4 home runs and 30 RBI. Ian Happ leads the team with 15 home runs and 58 RBI. In terms of recent performances, Christopher Morel has hit 2 home runs in his last 8 games, while Nico Hoerner is hitting .353 over his last 8 games. Miguel Amaya is currently on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Brewers Cubs Pitching
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Cubs. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.12 ERA. Myers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 13 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.75 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recently faced the Cubs on June 29th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. The right-hander is coming off a start in which he didn’t give up an earned run, going eight innings vs. the Pirates.
Through 17 starts, Javier Assad has a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.27. He has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 8.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Assad finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up more than one earned run. At home, Assad is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA compared to 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA on the road.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Brewers head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Brewers they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Cubs are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Cubs have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Brewers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Cubs have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for today’s Brewers vs. Cubs matchup is 8-5 in favor of the Brewers. With the Brewers picking up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line, where they are currently at -114.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Javier Assad finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fifth among all starters today. As for Tobias Myers, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him at ninth.
Offensively, the Brewers are projected to finish with 11 hits, compared to the Cubs, who we have finishing with 10. The Cubs are projected to finish with 10 strikeouts, while the Brewers are at 10.
Assuming you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the Brewers on the money line and then look for a player prop bet for Myers and Assad to finish with six and seven strikeouts, respectively.
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