Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Brewers taking on the Braves on Tuesday, August 6th, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Brewers Braves free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
(62-49) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves (60-51)
Date: Tuesday, August 6th
Time: 7:20 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Colin Rea vs. Bryce Elder
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers +117 | Braves -139 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Brewers +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Brewers vs. Braves Gameday
It’s a warm night in Atlanta for this NL matchup between the Brewers and Braves. The first pitch is set for 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park, and you can catch the action on TBS. The Braves are the slight favorites in this one, coming in at -139 on the money line, while the Brewers are at +117.
Colin Rea will get the start for the Brewers, while Bryce Elder will take the mound for the Braves. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, with the over paying out at +100 and the under at -121.
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Braves, having dropped two straight games. The Brewers are 62-49 overall, putting them in 1st place in the NL Central. They lead the Pirates by six games for the top spot in the division.
At home, the Brewers are 31-21 this season, and they have gone 31-28 on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee is 26-22 this season and 36-27 when favored. The Brewers have an overall series record of 19-14-3, but they have dropped three straight series.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Nationals scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Milwaukee was the -126 favorite on the money line going into the game.
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Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out two. The Brewers’ offense was carried by Gary Sánchez, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Brewers Gambling
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the average over/under line for Milwaukee Brewers games this season, which is set at 8 runs. The Brewers have played in 87 games with lower over/under lines than 9 runs, compared to just 11 games with higher lines. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-46 overall.
When betting the run line on the Brewers this season, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 32-16 against the run line in those games. They have a run line record of 32-27 on the road, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. Their average run margin in all games this season is +0.7 runs per game.
Brewers Stats
The Milwaukee Brewers have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Their batting average of .254 is 5th in the MLB, and their .330 OBP is 3rd. They have been getting on base at a good clip, but their power numbers are below average, as they rank 21st in total home runs. Rhys Hoskins has been one of their top hitters, leading the team with 19 home runs and 57 RBI. He is currently on a 10-game hitting streak. William Contreras and Willy Adames have also been key contributors, with Contreras ranking 2nd on the team in RBI with 59, and Adames leading the team with 71 RBI. Jackson Chourio has been hot at the plate, hitting .333 over his last 7 games.
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Atlanta Braves
With an overall record of 60-51, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 5.5 games. Atlanta lost the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins and are 18-16 in divisional games this year. The Braves have gone 32-23 at home compared to 28-28 on the road.
As the favorite, the Braves have gone 53-40 this year and 7-11 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 19-13-5 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Brewers. So far, the Braves have dropped two straight games as the favorite.
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 7-0 loss. This was especially tough, as the Braves were the heavy favorite at -257. Things really got away from the Braves in the 4th inning, as the Marlins scored six runs in the inning. Atlanta’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd.
Max Fried got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. The Braves also issued five walks in the loss and hit just one double.
Braves Gambling
The Braves have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 39-67, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 8-14-3. The under has hit in their last four games, and only 11.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
While the Braves have a run line record of 51-60 on the season, they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 28-28. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.4 runs per game at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games and are 23-32 on the run line at home this season.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been a below-average offensive team this season, ranking 20th in runs per game both at home and on the road. Their batting average of .239 is 13th in the league, and their 138 total home runs are 7th. Marcell Ozuna has been their best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average, on-base percentage, home runs, and RBI. Matt Olson has also been a key contributor, ranking 2nd on the team in RBI. Looking at recent performances, Austin Riley has been hot, hitting .364 with 2 home runs in his last 8 games. Orlando Arcia has also been swinging a hot bat, hitting .320 with 4 home runs in his last 8 games. The Braves have a few players on hitting streaks, with Travis d’Arnaud leading the way at 9 games.
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Brewers Braves Pitching
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today as he faces the Braves on the road. Rea has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with an ERA of 3.59. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.02 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. The right-hander has allowed 16 homers this season.
Right-hander Bryce Elder gets the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Brewers. So far this season, he has made nine starts and three of them have been quality starts. Elder’s ERA for the season is 5.67, along with a record of 2-4. In his most recent outing, he picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, Elder has alternated between wins and losses. Opponents are batting .287 off Elder this season, and his WHIP is 1.54.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Brewers head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Brewers they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Brewers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Brewers vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -139. We actually have the Braves winning this one by a score of 7-4. With the over/under line sitting at 9 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room, but we do see this one going over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Colin Rea finishing with just four strikeouts and Bryce Elder with five. However, we have Elder picking up the win, and he is a good option if you’re looking to go with a starting pitcher in the prop markets.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
BIG FLY! 🐻@Delta | #BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/lsUcerVd6G
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 4, 2024
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