Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Nationals Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(36-40-0) Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (29-51-0)
Date: Sunday, July 3rd
Time: 11:05 ETPM ET
Venue: Nationals Park Washington
Projected Pitchers: Braxton Garrett vs. Patrick Corbin
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins -115 Nationals -105
MLB run line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5, Nationals -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
Miami Marlins
Heading into the game, the Miami Marlins have an overall record of 36-40-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 18-24. In the NL East division, Miami currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 40-37-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 51.0% of their games. The Marlins’ over-under record is 38-36-3.
For Miami, Braxton Garrett gets the start with an overall record of 1-3. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 5.24. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.42 innings per outing, as well as 8.87 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 2.42 per 9. In total, Garrett has given up 2 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Marlins have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.22.
So far, the Miami Marlins have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.39 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 10.0. On offense, the Marlins have a team batting average of 0.245, placing them 13th in the league. Miami’s batting average on balls in play of 0.258 is ranked 15th. In terms of stolen bases, the Marlins are doing so near the league average, at 0.76 per game.
In the field, Miami averages 0.51 errors per game, placing them near the league average. Currently, the team is ranked 0.76 in double plays turned.
Heading into the game, the Washington Nationals have an overall record of 29-51-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 14-30. In the NL East division, Washington currently sits 5th So far, the team has gone 33-48-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 20.0% of their games. The Nationalss’ over-under record is 40-37-4.
For Washington, Patrick Corbin gets the start with an overall record of 4-10. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 6.06. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.08 innings per outing. as well as 8.27 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.31 per 9. In total, Corbin has given up 14 home runs.
So far, the Nationals bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.38.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Washington Nationals, as they are averaging just 4.01 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -114.0. The Nationals come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.253. Washington combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.229. Placing them below average. With runners on base, the Nationals are averaging just 0.7 stolen bases per game.
Washington has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.68 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.7 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
- Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington’s last 10 games
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup Marlins starter Braxton Garrett has the edge in ERA. But so far, Patrick Corbin has the better WHIP, at 1.7. Garrett will be facing a Nationals offense ranked 6th in batting average. Corbin faces a Marlins offense that has a batting average of 0.245 (13th).
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