Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Padres on at Petco Park, San Diego Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Padres free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(12-11-0) Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (15-8-0)
Date: Thursday, May 5th
Time: 09:40 ETPM ET
Venue: Petco Park San Diego
Projected Pitchers: Jesus Luzardo vs. Nick Martinez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins OFF Padres OFF
MLB run line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5, Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: OFF
Miami Marlins
As the Miami Marlins travel to take on the San Diego Padres, they are off to a strong start, going 12-11-0, placing them 2nd in the NL East division. In their 11 as the road team, Miami has put together a record of 6-5. The Marlins will be looking to bounce back after falling to Arizona by a score of 5-4 To start the year, Miami has picked up just 4 series wins, going 4-4-0.
Against San Diego, the Marlins will send Jesus Luzardo to the mound. Through 4 starts, Luzardo has picked up 2 wins on an overall record of 2-1. Heading into his start, he has an ERA of 3.1. This comes while averaging 5.025 per outing. A key to Luzardo’s success at limiting runs is opposing hitters have a batting average of just 0.178 against the left-hander. His strong statistical start to the season is also backed by an FIP figure of just 2.4.
On offense, Miami comes into the game averaging 3.96 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. So far, the Marlins’ offense has struggled to generate runs as they have not been able to string together hits, ranking 13th in team batting average (0.234). Not only is Miami’s offense struggling to generate hits, they are also in the bottom half of the league in home runs hit, averaging just 0.78 deep shots per game. (20th).
San Diego Padres
As the Padres, play host to Miami, they have put together a record 15-8-0, placing them 2nd in the NL West division. Through 10 games at Petco Park, San Diego is above .500, sitting at 6-4 at home. The Padres are looking to keep things rolling as they are coming off a 5-2 win over the Pittsburgh. When looking at how San Diego has performed in their previous series, they have an above .500 record, going a combined 4-2-1.
For San Diego, Nick Martinez comes into this game making 4 appearances thus far, having picked up just 1 wins, on an overall 1-2. On average, Martinez is going 4.8 innings per outing and will look to lower an ERA sitting at 4.12. If he is going to turn things around, Martinez will be looking to lower his batting average allowed, which currently sits at 0.288. So far, his FIP rating of 6.7 is a confirmation of Martinez’ overall struggles on the mound. A major reason for Nick Martinez’s high FIP is his tendency to give up the long ball, averaging 2 homers per 9 innings pitched.
Offensively, San Diego comes into this game averaging 4.74 runs per game, placing them 4th in baseball. On the season, the Padres have managed to keep things together on offense, despite ranking just14th in team batting average (0.234). In addition to San Diego’s low batting average, home runs have been hard to come by, as they are averaging just 0.91 deep shots per game. (15th).
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Marlins are 15-36 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.
- Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League East..
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction:
In this matchup, Miami is ranked just 16th in runs scored vs right-handed pitching. Despite their struggles generating runs, the Marlins’ offense is still hitting 0.245 against right-handed pitching, placing them (8th) in the league. In addition to getting on base with their bats, the team has also shown their patience at the plate against right-handers, posting a BB% of 9.5.
Against left-handed pitching, San Diego has had no problem generating offense, averaging 0.17 runs per at bat, 2nd most in baseball. This strong rank comes in large part to a combined batting average of 0.243.
In game 1 of this series, I recommend taking the over.
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