Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs Phillies Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies free picks? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Phillies on Wednesday, May 18th at Kauffman Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(21-18) Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (23-17)
Date: Wednesday May 18, 2016
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Projected Pitchers: Tom Koehler RHP vs. Jeremy Hellickson RHP
MLB Moneyline Odds: PHI +102
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: 8
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An NL East divisional battle between two teams who have exceeded expectations in the early going. Entering today’s matinee showdown, both the Marlins and Phillies hold records over .500, with the Phillies holding a 1.5 game lead over their visiting opponent.
Tom Koehler’s raw numbers this season have been uninspiring to say the least. His ERA sits north of 5.00 entering this afternoon’s game, but he had his best outing of the season against the Phillies earlier this year.
Last time they met, Koehler out dueled Hellickson by going 7 innings and allowing only one earned run. He permitted 4 baserunners (two via walk and two hits) while striking out 8.
The Marlins young outfield trio of Yelich, Ozuna, and Stanton is one of the better groups in baseball and they will be expected to shoulder most of the load offensively if Miami wants to win this one.
Ozuna specifically has been one of baseball’s best hitters over the last couple weeks, offering an average over .400 in the month of May after a horribly sluggish April.
Koehler has been especially bad away from his home stadium this season, as he’s registered a 6.05 ERA on the road so far this season.
The saying too good to be true seems to apply to these Phillies. With a roster bereft of any elite talent on the mound or at the dish, the Phillies were expected to compete for one of the league’s worst records.
However, here we are 6 weeks into the season and the Phillies find themselves with the 4th best record in the National League at 22-17.
One primary reason for their hot start has been the transformation of Odubel Hererra from promising youngster to one of the game’s elite leadoff hitters.
In 495 ABs last year, Hererra drew a mere 28 walks but has managed 29 free passes through only 140 this season. His new selectivity has seen a drop in K% from 24.0% for 15.9.
n the mound tonight, Jeremy Hellickson has had a minor resurgence moving from the AL to NL East. While the raw numbers are pedestrian, the underlying stats suggest strong performance.
His swinging strike percentage of 12.3% is top 15 league wide, and while home runs will likely be an issue in Citizens Bank Park his HR/FB rate suggests early bad luck with the long ball.
The Phillies lead the season series with their divisional foe 3 games to 2.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game
- Marlins are 1-4 in Koehler’s last 5 starts vs. NL East
- Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP over 1.30
- Phillies are 9-2 on their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record
Free Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
Even though he wan’t at his sharpest last time they squared off, Hellickson has been rolling lately and I think he bounces back and keeps Marlins offense in check. Look for the Phillies to make adjustments and get to Koehler early and maintain the lead to send the crowd home happy.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Philadelphia ML and game under 8
Neither of these teams sports a prolific offense, so look for a typical National League game where runs are manufactured, despite the subpar pitching matchup.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Phillies 4 – Marlins 3
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