Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Phillies on Thursday, May 20th, 2021 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Phillies free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Thursday, May 20th, 2021
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Projected Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Vince Velasquez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -125, Marlins +105
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: OFF
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8
Today is the rubber match of this three game series. Miami won yesterday and is looking to win the series this evening.
The Marlins score about three runs per game. Sometimes, like last night, that is good enough to win. Others, like the series opener, it isn’t. Today, wit their best starter on the mound they might be able to make that work.
Sandy Alcantara got hit hard by the Dodgers in his last start. He had not been dominating prior to that but this early in the season, giving up 8 runs while only getting four outs really kills your statistical profile. He is still a guy you can get behind.
The Marlins might not have the best numbers in terms of strikeouts but according to WAR they are the fifth best relief corps in the game. That helps even though that offense is a challenge to work with sometimes.
The Phillies are doing a solid job managing while they have key players that are hurt. If you believe in strength up the middle than injuries to SS Didi Gregorius and C JT Realmuto are even more critical than they look. Bryce Harper is still not right either.
Vince Velasquez has made give straight starts. I wouldn’t call them great but he has not given up more than three runs in any of them and the team is 3-2 in those games. His control has been off at home though.
While the Marlins bullpen is a plus for Miami that is not the case for the the Phillies. They have some really good arms back there but consistency has definitely been a challenge. That is concerning with VV on the hill. He is generally not working deep into the game.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
- Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Marlins are 32-68 in their last 100 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss.
- Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Free Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
I am going to go with the home side here. Alcantara is unlikely to get bombed again but I worry about the support we can count on. Even with some injuries I still like the Phillies lineup more.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline
This might not be a great value because it is probably a pick’em but I still like the homeside.
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