Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs Phillies Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies free plays? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Phillies on Thursday, April 27, 2017 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(10-9) Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (10-9)
Date: Thursday, April 27, 2017
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Projected Pitchers: Edinson Volquez vs. Jeremy Hellickson
MLB Moneyline Odds: Miami +120 | Philadelphia -130
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: 8
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The Marlins currently sit at 10-9 and are in 2nd place in the NL East, but from a statistical perspective are the epitome of a slightly below average team. Their hitting, starting pitching and bullpen all rate in the bottom half of the league in WAR.
This is despite having high level talent scattered throughout their lineup with Giancarlo Stanton, Marcell Ozuna, Christian Yelich and surprise J.T. Realmuto who is hitting .352 with a 140 wRC+. However they simply don’t have much depth in the lineup after these guys.
They seem bound to regress in the coming weeks as five of their 10 wins have been by less than two runs; they’re getting good performances from their bats but need their pitching to rise out of mediocrity.
The young Phillies are hanging tough, they’re 10-9 but have won five in a row and six of their last seven.
Their pitching staff is about average as a whole, but much of that is due to a bullpen that’s near the bottom of the league, which is normal for a team that doesn’t expect to contend.
The real bright spots have been Jerad Eickhoff and Thursday’s starter, Jeremy Hellickson. Hellickson leads the team with a 1.88 ERA and nearly leads the team in innings with 24.
He won’t strike anyone out, averaging less than four per nine innings but generates a lot of weak contact and fly balls. Citizens Bank Park is known for allowing a lot of homeruns, but Hellickson is near the top of the league in HR/FB ratio, allowing homeruns on less than 5% of his flyballs.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Over is 16-6-4 in MIA last 26 road games
- PHI are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Hellicksons last 11 home starts.
Free Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
The Phillies are keeping their head above water and Hellickson is a big reason why. The Marlins lineup can keep a pitcher awake at night but the Phillies hitters are probably sleeping peacefully in advance of facing Volquez.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: OVER 8
Hellickson while he’s been good, feels like a slight aberration, he simply can’t sustain his HR/FB ratio in a ballpark so small. And with a fearsome Marlins lineup, I think they send one or two out of the park on Thursday.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Miami 5 – Philadelphia 6
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