Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Mets on 8/28 at Citi Field, in New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Mets free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
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Marlins vs. Mets Gameday
As the Miami Marlins head into Citi Field, they bring a record of 62-71 and sit third in the NL East. Their recent form shows a two-game losing streak and a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The Marlins will need to regroup under manager Clayton McCullough as they face a tough opponent.
Meanwhile, the New York Mets are riding high with a record of 72-61, holding second place in the division. They have won three straight games and boast a strong 7-3 record in their last 10 outings. Under manager Carlos Mendoza, the Mets have been impressive at home with a 44-24 record.
Weather conditions at Citi Field tonight are expected to be mild with a light breeze and overcast clouds. This could affect gameplay, especially for hitters trying to go deep. Fans can catch all the action on SNY as the teams take the field at 7:10 PM.
In recent games, the Marlins suffered heavy losses to the Braves, with recent scores of 12-1 and 11-2. On the other hand, the Mets have been dominant against the Phillies, winning 6-0 and 6-5 in their latest outings. Both teams will be eager to make a statement tonight in this NL East matchup.
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Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds & Last 5
As game time approaches, the odds favor the Mets with a moneyline of -255. The Marlins sit at +211, indicating their role as underdogs for tonight’s game. With the Mets’ recent home success, bettors might lean towards the home team.
Both teams have had contrasting outcomes in recent games. The Marlins have faced challenges, losing their last two, including a tough series against the Braves. Meanwhile, the Mets have secured a three-game winning streak, showing strength against the Phillies.
In recent performances, the Mets’ pitching has held opponents in check, as seen in their 6-0 win over the Phillies. On the other hand, the Marlins’ struggles were evident in their 12-1 loss to the Braves. These past games set the stage for an intriguing evening at Citi Field.
Mets Stats
Firstly, the New York Mets are on a roll with their recent games. They have won four of their last five games. Notably, they had a dominant 6-0 win against the Phillies on August 27th.
In terms of team hitting, the Mets are doing well. They have a batting average of .249, ranking 7th in the league. Their on-base percentage is even better at .326, placing them 4th.
Moreover, the Mets’ slugging percentage stands at .424, which is 7th in the league. They have hit 177 home runs, ranking them 8th. This power at the plate has been a key part of their success.
On the pitching side, the Mets have an earned run average of 3.81, placing them 7th in the league. They have been good at limiting home runs, giving up only 119, which ranks 2nd. Their pitchers have also recorded 1141 strikeouts, ranking 11th.
Among the top hitters, Pete Alonso stands out with 29 home runs and 106 RBIs. Francisco Lindor has also been strong, with a batting average of .265 and 25 home runs. These players have been crucial in driving the Mets’ offense.
Finally, the Mets’ recent performance shows they are in great form. They have scored 6 or more runs in three of their last five games. Their combination of hitting and pitching makes them a tough team to beat right now.
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Marlins Stats
First, let’s dive into the Miami Marlins’ recent hitting stats. They hold a .249 batting average, which places them 7th in the league. However, their on-base percentage of .312 ranks 14th, indicating they might struggle to get runners on base consistently.
Moreover, the Marlins’ slugging percentage is .393, placing them 18th. They have hit 128 home runs, ranking 20th. Their ability to hit doubles is a bright spot, as they rank 7th with 218 doubles.
Now, focusing on the Marlins’ pitching, their earned run average is 4.58, which ranks 25th. This shows they have challenges in keeping opponents from scoring. Additionally, their batting average against is .247, ranking them 15th.
In terms of home runs given up, the Marlins have allowed 149, placing them 11th. They have achieved 30 quality starts, ranking 22nd, which suggests inconsistency in their starting rotation. Their bullpen has blown 19 saves, ranking 5th, indicating some struggles in closing out games.
Looking at recent games, the Marlins have had mixed results. They lost two games against the Braves but managed a win on August 25th. Their performance against the Blue Jays was similar, with one win and one loss in their last two meetings.
Finally, key players like Xavier Edwards and Agustín Ramírez lead the team in various categories. Edwards has a .288 batting average, while Ramírez leads in home runs with 18. Otto Lopez and Eric Wagaman also contribute significantly to the team’s offense.
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Marlins vs. Mets Pitching Matchup
Adam Mazur takes the mound for the Miami Marlins. His ERA stands at 6.35, and his WHIP is 1.59. Although his record is 0-1, he aims to improve with more consistent outings.
On the other hand, Mazur’s strikeout numbers have been inconsistent. This inconsistency has been a trend in his recent games. However, he has shown potential to turn things around.
Clay Holmes will start for the New York Mets. With an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.32, he has a solid record of 11-6. Holmes has been reliable for the Mets throughout the season.
Additionally, Holmes has maintained steady strikeout numbers. His performance has been consistent, making him a key player for the Mets. As the game approaches, Holmes looks to continue his strong form.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets have won four of their last five games straight-up.
- Also, the Mets have covered the run line in three of their last five games.
- The total has gone over in three of the Mets’ last five games.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games straight-up.
- Additionally, the Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last five games.
- The total has gone over in three of the Marlins’ last five games.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction: Over 8.5
The Mets are heating up, winning 4 of their last 5 and cashing the run line in 3 of those games. Their offense has been in rhythm, with the total going over in 3 of their last 5.
When their bats are working like this, they can push a game past the number on their own.
Meanwhile, the Marlins are going in the opposite direction. They’ve dropped 4 of their last 5 and failed to cover the run line in 3 of those. However, their pitching woes have led to higher totals, with 3 of their last 5 also going over.
Given the Mets’ current production and the Marlins’ inconsistency on the mound, runs should come from both sides.
Recent trends all point toward a high-scoring contest, making the over 8.5 the sharp play.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
This is funny!
Press K to Start Battle. pic.twitter.com/7PTzNJHvep
— New York Mets (@Mets) August 26, 2025
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