Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Mets on at Citi Field, New York Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Mets free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(28-35) Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets (44-23)
Date: Sunday, June 19th, 2022
Time: 1:40 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field, New York, NY
Projected Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara (MIA) vs. Chris Bassitt (NYM)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +115, Mets -135
MLB run line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5, Mets -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 6.5
The Miami Marlins are on the road to play the third game of a four-game series with the New York Mets on Sunday afternoon.
In the opening game of the series Friday night, it was the Mets flexing their collective muscle en route to a one-sided 10-4 victory, drawing first blood in the set. They also won the second game 3-2.
Miami Marlins
Miami dropped their second straight and fourth in the last five games as they were pounded into submission by the Mets on Friday. And after a 3-2 loss on Saturday, the Marlins are fourth in the NL East picture, 14 games behind the Mets for the top spot in the division race. On Friday night, Miami outhit the Mets 10-9 but gave up a three-run homer in addition to a grand slam to wash that advantage away.
Meanwhile, the Marlins’ 13-20 road record doesn’t elicit a lot of confidence they can get the job done. It’s going to take a special performance from Alcantara and company to keep them in the fight.
New York Mets
Heading into the game, the New York Mets have an overall record of 40-22-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 19-8. In the NL East division, New York currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 37-25-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 76.0% of their games. The Metss’ over-under record is 32-26-4.
For New York, David Peterson gets the start with an overall record of 3-0. This includes a strong ERA of 3.0 So far, he is lasting an average of 4.5 innings per outing. as well as 8.0 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 4.5 per 9. In total, Peterson has given up 3 home runs.
During the season, the Mets bullpen has received a workload similar to league average. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 3.78.
During the season, the New York Mets have performed well on offense, averaging 5.10 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 66.0. The Mets come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.265. New York combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.243. Placing them below average. With runners on base, the Mets are averaging just 0.74 stolen bases per game.
New York has been strong on defense, ranking 7th in fewest errors at 0.47 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.74 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games
- NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction:
As good as Bassitt was in his last start, it’s going to take more than one solid outing to believe he’s back to form. After all, he was 0-2 with a 6.82 ERA over 31.2 innings in his previous six starts dating back to May 8. The biggest challenge for Bassitt may be his opposing number in this contest.
Alcantara has been dealing all year long, leading the NL in WAR for pitchers (3.9), second in ERA, first in hits allowed per nine (6.011), first in innings pitched, sixth in strikeouts, and first in win probability added.
Give me the Marlins to bounce back here.
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