Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Astros on at Minute Maid Park, Houston Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Astros free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(26-30-0) Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros (36-22-0)
Date: Saturday June 11th
Time: 04:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park Houston
Projected Pitchers: Braxton Garrett vs. Framber Valdez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins 190 Astros -230
MLB run line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5, Astros -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
Miami Marlins
Heading into the game, the Miami Marlins have an overall record of 26-30-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 11-16. In the NL East division, Miami currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 30-26-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 56.9% of their games. The Marlins’ over-under record is 29-26-1.
For Miami, Braxton Garrett gets the start with an overall record of 0-1. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 10.8. So far, he is lasting an average of 3.1 innings per outing, as well as 13.5 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 2.7 per 9. In total, Garrett has given up 1 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Marlins have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.18.
During the season, the Miami Marlins have performed well on offense, averaging 4.52 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 24.0. The Marlins come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.247. Miami’s batting average on balls in play of 0.261 is ranked 13th. In terms of stolen bases, the Marlins are doing so near the league average, at 0.77 per game.
Miami has been strong on defense, ranking 10th in fewest errors at 0.46 per game. Currently, the team is ranked 0.77 in double plays turned.
Heading into the game, the Houston Astros have an overall record of 36-22-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 15-9. In the AL West division, Houston currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 28-30-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 84.0% of their games. The Astross’ over-under record is 18-40-0.
For Houston, Framber Valdez gets the start with an overall record of 6-2. This includes a strong ERA of 2.61 So far, he is lasting an average of 6.27 innings per outing. as well as 7.17 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.26 per 9. In total, Valdez has given up 3 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Astros have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 2.65.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Houston Astros, as they are averaging just 4.10 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 42.0. On offense, the Astros have a team batting average of 0.236, placing them 21st in the league. On their balls in play, Houston has the 3rd ranked BABIP of 0.29. With runners on base, the Astros are averaging just 0.76 stolen bases per game.
Houston has been strong on defense, ranking 7th in fewest errors at 0.45 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.76 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
- Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup heavily favors the Houston Astros. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Framber Valdez has a better WHIP of 1.13 compared to Braxton Garrett at 1.8. Garrett will be facing an Astros offense with a team batting average of 0.236 (21st). Valdez has a tough matchup against a Marlins offense ranked 11th in batting average.
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