Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Guardians Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Guardians on 8/13 at Progressive Field, in Cleveland. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Guardians free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians
(57-62) Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Guardians (62-56)
Date: Aug 13, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Eury Pérez vs. Gavin Williams
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +110 | Guardians -130 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5 | Guardians -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.0
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Marlins vs. Guardians Gameday
The Miami Marlins are set to play the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. The Marlins have had a rough patch, losing four in a row and going 3-7 in their last ten games. On the other hand, the Guardians have been on a roll, winning eight of their last ten games and coming off a win against the Marlins.
Miami’s record stands at 57-62, placing them third in the NL East. Their road record is close to even at 29-31. Manager Clayton McCullough will be looking to turn things around for his team in this game.
Cleveland holds a 62-56 record, good for second in the AL Central. They have a solid home record of 30-27. Under the guidance of manager Stephen Vogt, the Guardians will try to continue their winning ways.
The weather at Progressive Field is expected to be warm with a light breeze. However, there might be moderate rain, which could impact gameplay. Fans can catch the action on CLEG at 6:40 PM.
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Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Guardians Odds & Last 5
The odds for the game favor the Cleveland Guardians with a moneyline of -128. The Miami Marlins are listed at +109 on the moneyline. This suggests that the Guardians are seen as having a better chance to win at home.
Looking back, the Marlins recently lost to the Guardians 4-3. In that game, they had five hits and no home runs. The Guardians had seven hits, including three home runs, showcasing their strong offensive performance.
The Marlins have struggled in their last stretch, with a 3-7 record over the past ten games. Conversely, the Guardians have been strong, winning eight of their last ten. This recent performance adds to their favored odds for the upcoming game.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians are showing some strength at the plate this season. They rank 19th in batting average with a .228 mark. Their on-base percentage is .300, placing them 17th in the league.
The Guardians have hit 126 home runs, which puts them at 18th in the league. They have also managed to hit 180 doubles, ranking 16th. Their slugging percentage stands at .379, which is 23rd in the league.
On the pitching side, the Guardians have a 3.81 earned run average, ranking them 11th. Opponents are batting .239 against them, which is 7th best in the league. They have given up 126 home runs, ranking 8th.
The Guardians have recorded 36 quality starts, placing them 14th in the league. They have blown 16 saves, which is 5th. Their pitchers have struck out 994 batters, ranking them 14th.
Recently, the Guardians have been on a positive run. They won against the Miami Marlins 4-3 on August 12th. José Ramírez played a big role, going 3 for 4 with two home runs.
In their last five games, the Guardians have won four times. They defeated the New York Mets and took three out of four games against the Chicago White Sox. Kyle Manzardo has been a key player during this stretch, contributing with home runs and RBIs.
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Marlins Stats
The Miami Marlins have been hitting with a .251 average, placing them 6th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .313, ranking 10th. However, their slugging percentage of .393 ranks 18th, indicating a need for more power.
In terms of home runs, the Marlins have hit 113, which ranks them 22nd in the league. They have 197 doubles, putting them in the 6th spot. The team also shows discipline with 363 walks, though it ranks 20th.
The Marlins’ pitching staff holds a 4.52 ERA, ranking 24th. Their batting average against is .249, which is 14th in the league. They’ve given up 132 home runs, ranking 11th.
Quality starts have been recorded 24 times, placing them 19th. The bullpen has blown 19 saves, ranking 7th, which could be a concern. They have struck out 938 batters, ranking 21st in the league.
Recently, the Marlins have struggled, losing four of their last five games. They lost to the Cleveland Guardians 4-3 and dropped three games to the Atlanta Braves. Their lone win came with a 5-1 victory over the Braves.
Xavier Edwards leads the team with a .304 average and has scored 56 runs. Agustín Ramírez is the top home run hitter with 17. Otto Lopez also contributes with 11 home runs and 56 RBIs.
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Marlins vs. Guardians Pitching Matchup
Eury Pérez takes the mound for the Miami Marlins. He has an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.01. His win-loss record stands at 4-3, and he has shown consistency in his recent outings.
Pérez’s ability to keep runners off base is evident in his WHIP. He has been effective in striking out batters, which has helped him in tight situations. His recent trend shows improvement in control and command.
On the other side, Gavin Williams will start for the Cleveland Guardians. He boasts an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.30. With a win-loss record of 7-4, Williams has been reliable for the Guardians this season.
Williams has been striking out batters at a steady rate. His recent performances indicate he is maintaining his form. He will aim to continue his success on the mound against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Guardians Baseball Betting Trends
- The Guardians have won four out of their last five games straight-up.
- Also, the Guardians have hit the under in three of their last five games.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games straight-up.
- The Marlins have hit the over in three of their last five games.
- Additionally, the Guardians have covered the run line in three of their last five games.
- The Marlins have not covered the run line in four of their last five games.
Marlins vs Guardians Prediction: Under 8
Cleveland has been playing winning baseball, taking four of their last five, and they’ve done it in lower-scoring fashion with three of those games staying under the total.
Their pitching staff may only rank 24th in ERA on the season, but lately they’ve been doing enough to keep opponents from piling on runs.
That recent form could be trouble for a Marlins offense that’s been inconsistent at best.
Miami, meanwhile, has dropped four of its last five and has struggled to put together complete games. Even though three of those contests went over, that was often due to their pitching letting things get away.
Against a Guardians team trending toward tighter, lower-scoring matchups, they may find runs harder to come by.
Given the Guardians’ current rhythm and the potential for weather to dampen offense at Progressive Field, this sets up as a game where the bats stay relatively quiet.
I’m taking the Under 8.0 and expecting a low-scoring battle.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
This is the laugh of a man who is so locked in.#GuardsBall | #GuardiWins pic.twitter.com/hvJZLbbO7n
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) August 13, 2025
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