Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs Reds Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Reds on Thursday, August 19th, 2021 at Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Reds free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
(51-70) Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Date: Thursday, August 19th
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, Ohio
Projected Pitchers: TBD vs. Luis Castillo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins OFF | Reds OFF
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Marlins OFF
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7.5
Are the Cincinnati Reds suddenly vulnerable coming into a 4-game home set against the Marlins. The Reds are just 1.5 games out of the NL wild card race, but just lost 2 of 3 at home to the Cubs who had a 12 game losing streak going prior.
The Cubs aren’t good, but then again neither are the Marlins. Miami just got swept over three games by the Braves while giving up 25 runs over that span. That was at home too, and now the Marlins head on the road where they are 19-40 on the 2021 season.
Pitching has to be a major concern for the Marlins coming into the weekend. Over the past three defeats to the Braves, Miami has a 12-2 and an 11-9 loss, which is kind of uncharacteristic considering the Marlins have the #11 ERA in the majors as a staff.
The good news for the Miami pitching staff is that the Reds offense completely shut down in the last two games vs. the Cubs, falling 2-1 and 7-1. The loss to Kyle Hendricks on Tuesday for Cincinnati is understandable, but they also fell to Adrian Sampson as -322 favorites on Wednesday. Sampson hadn’t pitched in the majors since 2019.
Don Mattingly isn’t sure who he’ll send to the bump on Thursday, but Miami does know who they’ll face as Luis Castillo is up in the rotation. Castillo has taken consecutive losses after allowing 11 ER over 10 IP in his last two outings.
The Reds getting just 5 hits on Tuesday vs. the MLB wins leader Hendricks is understandable, but there’s no excuse for Cincinnati to manage just 1 ER vs. Sampson on Wednesday considering he hasn’t pitched in the big leagues since 2019 and threw in Korea last season.
Either way, the Cincinnati offense finds themselves in a similar situation on Thursday as Miami has no idea who they are going to start. Tyler Naquin homered Wednesday and is hitting .423 over the past week, so expect him to keep it going in this series opener.
The Reds need to find some offense from somewhere considering Joey Votto has 10 K’s in his last 25 AB while Eugenio Suarez is just 2 for his last 16 (.125).
Thursday marks the first meeting between the Reds and Marlins this season, and Castillo will try to bring it home for Cincinnati. The right-hander does throw much better at home (3.72) than on the road (5.27) so maybe the value is on the Reds in this spot (depending on the number).
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Marlins are 17-39 last 56 road games
- Marlins are 0-4 last 4 vs. RH starter
- Over is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 road games
- Reds are 6-2 last 8 home games
- Reds are 9-4 last 13 vs. team with a losing record
- Reds are 6-1 last 7 head to head meetings
- Under is 7-2 last 9 head to head in Cincinnati
Free Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction:
You’d think the Reds regroup with division rival Chicago heading out of town after taking 2 of 3, and depending on the price Cincinnati has to be the play. This Cincinnati offense has been atrocious the past two games, but who knows who the Marlins are going to trot out to the bump.
Miami just got whipped by Atlanta over the past three games, and now go on a road trip. The Marlins were 1-5 in their most recent trip away from South Beach, so bank on a big night for the Reds here.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Reds -1.5
Time for Votto and Suarez to start showing up for Cincinnati after a rough week.
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