Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Cubs Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Cubs on Monday, May 12th, 2024 at Wrigley Field, in Chicago, IL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Cubs free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs
(15-24) Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs (23-18)
Date: Monday, May 12th
Time: 7:40 ET
Venue: Wrigley Field Chicago, IL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cal Quantrill vs. Colin Rea
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +208 | Cubs -247 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5 | Cubs -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Marlins vs. Cubs Gameday
At 7:40 PM ET, the Cubs and Marlins will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Marlins are 5th in the NL East, while the Cubs are leading the NL Central.</
Colin Rea will go for the Cubs, while the Marlins are starting Cal Quantrill. Miami is +208 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. FDSFL is carrying this game on TV.
Miami Marlins
Miami closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 4-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 4th inning but gave up the lead right away as the White Sox scored three times in the bottom of the 4th.
Sandy Alcantara took the loss for the Marlins, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and issued the three walks. Offensively, the Marlins scored their only other run in the 7th inning. Xavier Edwards and Connor Norby each had two hits and scored one run apiece.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Mets by 10 games. Overall, they are 15-24 and are 10 games behind the Nationals for 4th place in the division. The Marlins lost two of three games in their most recent series vs. the White Sox.
So far, the Marlins are 5-12 on the road compared to 10-12 at home. As the underdog, the Marlins have yet to win a series this year, as their overall series record is 3-9-1. They have dropped five straight series overall.
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Marlins Stats
As a team, the Marlins are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 16th in the league and just below the league average. They have been a pretty consistent offense, averaging 4.1 runs per game on the road and 4.3 runs per game at home. Miami is batting .246 as a team, which is 12th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is also right around the league average.
Kyle Stowers has been one of the league’s top power threats so far this season, as his seven home runs are 7th in the league. However, he is hitting just .182 over his last nine games. Matt Mervis is also tied for the team lead in homers but is batting just .198 for the season.
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Chicago Cubs
Pete Crow-Armstrong and the Cubs will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 6-2 loss. Chicago was the +110 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Cubs, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Mets scored in the bottom of the second.
Matthew Boyd put together a good start for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Cubs’s offense really struggled after their early run, and they could only score two runs. Pete Crow-Armstrong had a big game, going 1/4 with a homer, but the Cubs’s other run came in the 6th inning.
Chicago opens their series vs. the Marlins with an overall record of 23-18, good for 1st place in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cardinals by one game for the top spot in the division. The Cubs dropped two of three in their series vs. the Mets.
So far, the Cubs have been good at home, going 10-9 this season. They are also 13-9 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs have yet to lose a game this season, and they are 8-5-1 in series this year.
Cubs Stats
Chicago’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are averaging 5.7 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.9 runs per contest. So far, the Cubs have been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league. Collectively, the team is batting .252.
Both Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong come into the game tied for the team lead in home runs, with 10. Tucker is also 4th in the league in RBIs, with 32, while Crow-Armstrong is 2nd on the team with 28 RBIs. Crow-Armstrong is also on a four-game hitting streak, and Dansby Swanson has gone 9/22 over his last seven games.
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Marlins Cubs Pitching
Miami is sending right-hander Cal Quantrill to the mound today as he faces the Cubs on the road. Quantrill has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 7.11. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Looking back further, Quantrill had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts before that outing. Opponents are batting .328 off Quantrill this year, and his WHIP is 1.67.
Chicago is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Marlins. Rea has made five starts this year and has a record of 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA. In his most recent outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Giants. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Rea has made one quality start this year and is averaging 7.58 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed two homers and is averaging 2.12 walks per nine innings.
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Marlins head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Marlins they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Cubs are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Cubs have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Marlins are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Cubs have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Marlins vs. Cubs Prediction: UNDER 8.5
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Cubs matchup is to take the Cubs to win at home, but with a money line of -247, we would look to the over/under market, where the line is sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 3-1 in favor of the Cubs, giving us a good amount of wiggle room with the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s strikeout projections, we have Cal Quantrill finishing with just four K’s, which is the lowest among today’s starters. As for Colin Rea, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, ranking him in the middle of the pack.
Offensively, our projections have the Marlins finishing with nine hits compared to the Cubs with nine. However, the Cubs are projected to hit more home runs, and we have them finishing with eight K’s compared to the Marlins with nine.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
8 K day for Matthew. pic.twitter.com/AQzcYXwfoq
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) May 11, 2025
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