Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Braves Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(19-25-0) Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves (22-25-0)
Date: Sunday, May 29th
Time: 01:35 ETPM ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta
Projected Pitchers: Elieser Hernandez vs. Max Fried
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins 165 Braves -200
MLB run line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5, Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.0
Miami Marlins
Heading into the game, the Miami Marlins have an overall record of 19-25-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 9-13. In the NL East division, Miami currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 23-21-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 52.0% of their games. The Marlins’ over-under record is 21-22-1.
For Miami, Elieser Hernandez gets the start with an overall record of 2-4. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 5.45. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.36 innings per outing, as well as 8.39 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 2.95 per 9. In total, Hernandez has given up 11 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Marlins have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 3.19.
So far, the Miami Marlins have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.09 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 13.0. The Marlins come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.242. Miami’s batting average on balls in play of 0.252 is ranked 14th. On the base paths, the Marlins have put pressure on opposing pitchers, ranked 9th in the MLB in steals.
In the field, Miami averages 0.52 errors per game, placing them near the league average. Throughout the season, the team has done a good job turning double plays, averaging 0.86 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Atlanta Braves have an overall record of 22-25-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 13-14. In the NL East division, Atlanta currently sits 2nd So far, the team has gone 22-25-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 79.0% of their games. The Bravess’ over-under record is 26-18-3.
For Atlanta, Max Fried gets the start with an overall record of 4-2. His current ERA sits at 3.27, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 6.11 innings per outing. as well as 8.51 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 1.31 per 9. In total, Fried has given up 4 home runs.
During the season, the Braves bullpen has received a workload similar to the league average. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 3.3.
So far, the Atlanta Braves have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.09 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -14.0. The Braves head into the game ranked just 24th in team batting average. On their balls in play, Atlanta has the 8th ranked BABIP of 0.27. With runners on base, the Braves are averaging just 0.66 stolen bases per game.
In the field, Atlanta averages 0.49 errors per game, placing them near the league average. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.66 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Miami is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 9 games at home
- Atlanta is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Miami
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup heavily favors the Atlanta Braves. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Max Fried has a better WHIP of 1.05 compared to Elieser Hernandez at 1.31. I expect a strong performance from Elieser Hernandez, as the Braves offense is ranked just 24th. Fried has a tough matchup against a Marlins offense ranked 12th in batting average.
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