Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Braves on Thursday, August 1st, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Braves free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
(40-68) Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves (58-49)
Date: Thursday, August 1st
Time: 7:20 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Max Meyer vs. Charlie Morton
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +169 | Braves -200 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Marlins vs. Braves Gameday
It’s a hot one in Atlanta tonight as the Braves host the Marlins in an NL East matchup. First pitch is set for 7:20 at Truist Park, where the temperature is expected to be a scorching 96 degrees under clear skies. Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves, while the Marlins counter with Max Meyer.
Atlanta comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with a money line payout of -200 compared to Miami’s +169. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, with the over paying out at -102 compared to the under at -118.
Miami Marlins
Miami is 40-68 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 25 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 9-21 in divisional matchups. The Marlins kick off their series vs. the Braves on the road today.
At home, the Marlins are 22-34 this season, and they are 18-34 on the road. Miami has really struggled as the favorite this year, going just 4-13. As the underdog, they are 36-55. The Marlins’ overall series record is 10-20-4, and they split their most recent series vs. the Rays.
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Miami is coming off a big 6-2 win over the Rays to close out their series. This was especially impressive, as they were the +221 underdog on the money line. It was a three-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rays could only score two runs, both of which came in the 1st.
Rodder Muñoz put together a good start for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Miami’s offense was carried by Jonah Bride, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Marlins Gambling
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Marlins have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-45. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 3-9. Miami has played in five games this season with over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 2-3. Overall, 91 of their games have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, which is 84.3% of their games this season. The Marlins are currently on a two-game over streak.
When the Marlins win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.7 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7 runs per game. That has led to a run line record of 51-57 on the season. They are 26-26 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -1.2 runs per game. They are 2-15 on the run line as the favorite, but 49-42 as the underdog.
Marlins Stats
The Miami Marlins have struggled to score runs this season, ranking 29th in the league in runs per game both overall and on the road. Their home offense has been slightly better, as they rank 23rd in runs per game at home. Their power numbers are also lacking, as they are 24th in total home runs. The Marlins’ batting average is below average at .237, and their on-base percentage is 24th in the league. However, they have a couple of hitters who have been performing well recently, with Josh Bell hitting .429 over his last 5 games and Xavier Edwards hitting .500 over his last 7 games. Bell is also on a 7-game hitting streak.
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Atlanta Braves
With an overall record of 58-49, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 6.5 games. Atlanta will host the Marlins today, and they are 30-21 at home this season. The Braves have gone just 28-28 on the road.
Atlanta has won two straight games, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Brewers. This season, the Braves are 51-38 as the favorite and 7-11 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped four straight at home, and their overall series record is 18-13-4.
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Brewers in the bottom of the first, the Braves responded with two runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only three walks and struck out six Brewers batters. Atlanta’s bullpen closed things out with three scoreless innings, and Pierce Johnson picked up the save.
Braves Gambling
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Atlanta Braves’ game against the Miami Marlins is slightly higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. The Braves have played 71 games this season with over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 39-63.
When the Braves are the favorite, they have a run line record of 40-49. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2. Overall, their run line record is 49-58, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 16th in runs per game with 4.3. Their home and road splits are nearly identical, with both averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Braves have hit the 7th most home runs in the league with 133, but their batting average of .240 is 13th in the league. They rank 22nd in strikeouts per game and 22nd in walks. Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average (.301), on-base percentage (.377), home runs (31), and RBI (84). Matt Olson has hit 17 home runs this season and has 50 RBI. In the last 10 games, Orlando Arcia has been hot, hitting .353 with 2 home runs and 5 RBI.
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Marlins Braves Pitching
Max Meyer and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Braves. Meyer has started 3 games this season and has a 2-0 record. He picked up a win in his first start of the season against the Braves, going 6 innings and striking out 7. In his last outing, he went 4 innings and gave up 3 runs on 4 hits.
Charlie Morton will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets, as he gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Marlins. In that start vs. the Mets, Morton took the loss, giving up five earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Morton has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 4.16 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .233 off Morton this season, and his WHIP is 1.25.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Marlins head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Marlins they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Marlins are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for the Braves vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. We have the Braves taking this one by a score of 8-4. However, with the money line sitting at -200 for the Braves, we see more value in taking the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Charlie Morton finishing with six strikeouts compared to Max Meyer with six as well. However, Morton has a better chance of picking up the win, as Meyer is third in our projections for starters to pick up a win.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
The boys went off 🫡#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/Qs2OYmDni6
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) July 31, 2024
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