Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Braves on Saturday, 4/23/2022 at Truist Park in Atlanta. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Braves free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(5-8) Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves (7-8)
Date: Saturday, 4/23/2022
Time: 7:20 PM ET
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Projected Pitchers: Elieser Hernandez (MIA) vs. Ian Anderson (ATL)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +145 / Braves -175
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5 (-140) / Braves -1.5 (+120)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8
The Marlins and Braves will play game 2 of their series Saturday night in Atlanta. This game will feature Elieser Hernandez of the Marlins and Ian Anderson of the Braves.
The Braves open as -175 ML favorites while the Marlins are +145 home underdogs. The over/under is set at 8.
Elieser Hernandez comes into this game with a 1-1 record and a 4.22 ERA in 10.2 innings work so far this season. In his last start vs the Phillies, he pitched 6 innings only giving up 1 run with 5 strikeouts. Hernandez really only mixes in 3 pitches; a fastball that he throws 50% of the time, a slider he throws 35% of the time, and a changeup he throws 15% of the time.
Hernandez has been great at limited hard contact so far in his first 2 starts. He is in the 84th percentile for average exit velocity and the 89th percentile for hard hit percentage. Let’s see if that’s something he can maintain in this start vs a good hitting lineup like the Braves.
The Marlins have been led so far this season by 2 young exciting guys for them. Jazz Chisholm is hitting .290 with 3 HRs and 12 RBIs and Jesus Sanchez is hitting .356 with 3 HRs and 9 RBIs. Jazz is one of the most exciting guys to watch in the MLB and he has the swag to back it all up. The Marlins appear to be in good hands with these 2 guys.
Ian Anderson has a lot of similarities to Elieser Hernandez so far in this young season. Anderson also sports a 1-1 record but has a slighty higher ERA of 6.48. Anderson also only has a 3 pitch mix; a fastball he throws 44% of the time, a changeup he throws 38% of the time, and a curveball he throws 18% of the time.
These similarities don’t stop yet! Anderson is in the 81th percentile for average exit velocity and 90th percentile for hard hit percentage. The one big thing that Ian Anderson has the advantage in is barrel %; Anderson is in the 70th percentile while Hernandez is in the 30th percentile. Not only does Anderson not give up hard hits, but teams haven’t seemed to square him up on the barrel so far either.
Matt Olson is having a pretty ridiculous stat line to start this year. Olson is hitting .400 with 12 walks and leading the team with 9 runs scored. The funny part is, he has 2 HRs and 2 RBIs. I would not have thought those last 2 stats were real, but they are. I think the Braves might be happy with their Freeman replace so far this year.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-3 in Andersons last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Andersons last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 Saturday games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Andersons last 4 starts on grass.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction:
With the recent trends and the pitchers potentially not giving up hard contact, this game just screams under to me. The Marlins scored 5 runs on Thursday night, but the 2 prior games to the Cardinals, they scored 1 and 0 runs. I will be taking the under.
Also, I’m going to be taking the Braves First Five ML at home. They have a better offense and I think they have the better arm on the mound. Let’s lock in these bets and win some cash!
4* Free MLB Pick: Under 8/Braves F5 ML
If you’re looking for more MLB picks like this Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves matchup, we’ll be providing 4* free MLB plays on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free MLB Baseball picks!
Register here for a FREE MLB Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special Offers!