Free MLB Pick: Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Dodgers taking on the Phillies on Thursday, July 11th, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Dodgers Phillies free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies
(55-38) Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies (60-32)
Date: Thursday, July 11th
Time: 6:05 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Landon Knack vs. Aaron Nola
MLB Moneyline Odds: Dodgers +126 | Phillies -149 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Dodgers +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Dodgers vs. Phillies Gameday
At Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, the Phillies are set to host the Dodgers in this NL matchup. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 PM ET. The weather forecast for the game is 87 degrees with scattered clouds.
On the mound, the Dodgers will send out Landon Knack to face off against Aaron Nola for the Phillies. The current odds have the Phillies as the favorite with a money line of -149 compared to the Dodgers at +126. The over/under line is set at 9 runs.
Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run 5th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th. As for the Dodgers, they scored one run in the 4th and added two more in the 5th.
Gavin Stone got the start for the Dodgers, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out three. He did not factor in the decision as he was tagged with the loss. Cristopher Sanchez put together a good outing for the Phillies, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
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Shohei Ohtani hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Kyle Schwarber did the same for the Phillies, going 1/4 with a homer.
Los Angeles is on the road today, and they have dropped three straight games, putting their overall record at 55-38. The Dodgers lead the NL West by 7.5 games over the Padres. So far, they have gone 18-15 in divisional games.
This season, the Dodgers are 53-32 when favored but just 2-6 as the underdog. Los Angeles has been good at home, going 28-19, and they are 27-19 on the road. The Dodgers have an overall series record of 18-12-1 this season.
The Dodgers are on the road today against the Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 49-44. The average over/under line for Dodgers games this season is also 9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Dodgers have a record of 6-5 in those games. So far this season, 17.2% of Dodgers games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 71.0% of their games have had lower lines.
Dodgers Gambling
When the Dodgers are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 25-21. Their average run margin in those games is +1.2 runs per game. They have been favored in 85 of their 93 games, going 43-42 against the run line. Their average run margin in all games is +1.0 runs per game.
Dodgers Stats
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been an offensive force this season, ranking 3rd in runs per game at 5.0. Their home and road splits are consistent, with 4.9 runs per game at home (6th) and 5.0 on the road (4th). They rank 3rd in total home runs with 125 and have a team batting average of .255, which is 5th in the league. Their offense is patient at the plate, as they rank 2nd in walks and 1st in OBP. Their top hitter this season has been Shohei Ohtani, who is hitting .317 with 28 home runs and 66 RBIs. Teoscar Hernández has also been a key contributor, hitting .257 with 19 home runs and 60 RBIs. Will Smith has been hot at the plate, going 6 for 17 (.353) with 4 home runs and 5 RBIs in his last 5 games. Austin Barnes is currently on a 6-game hitting streak, while Ohtani has hit safely in 4 straight games.
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With an overall record of 60-32, the Phillies lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers, and they have an 18-8-5 series record this season. At home, the Phillies are 35-14 this season and 25-18 on the road.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games this season, going 40-16. As the favorite, the Phillies are 52-24 this season and 8-8 as the underdog. Their overall record has been helped by going 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies have a 41-46 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-6-1, and only 13% of their games have had higher lines this season.
Phillies Gambling
When the Phillies win, they win by an average of 3.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Their run line record is 48-44, and they are 25-24 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 40-36 against the run line, and as the underdog, they are 8-8.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season. They are 4th in runs per game, 3rd in batting average, and have an elite on-base percentage of .330. Their home offense has been particularly strong, leading the league in runs per game at home with 5.4. Their top hitters for the season have been Bryce Harper, who leads the team in batting average and on-base percentage, and Alec Bohm, who leads the team in RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has been on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Dodgers Phillies Pitching
Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 2.86. Knack’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Looking back at his last three outings, Knack has finished with a no-decision in each one. The right-hander has made one quality start this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.05 strikeouts and 2.34 walks.
Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 3.48 ERA. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.03. In his 18 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts. Nola’s most recent outing came against the Braves, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-1 and 4.35 ERA compared to 4-3 with a 4.08 ERA at home.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Dodgers head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Dodgers they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Dodgers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies on the money line, with the payout being -149. We actually have the final score of this one at 9-6 in favor of the Phillies, and with the over/under sitting at 9 runs, there is a lot of wiggle room on the line. Go OVER.
If you’re looking for some player props, we have Aaron Nola finishing with five strikeouts, which has him finishing 15th among all starters today. As for the Dodgers starter, Landon Knack, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which has him as the fourth-worst starter in terms of K’s.
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