Free Pick: Dodgers vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Dodgers taking on the Mets on 7/24 at Citi Field, in New York. This free MLB baseball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Dodgers Mets matchup..
2026 MLB Handicapping – Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets
(65-38) Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets (43-60)
Date: Jul 24, 2026
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Roki Sasaki vs. Sean Manaea
MLB Moneyline Odds: Dodgers -150 | Mets +127 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Dodgers -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
Here’s why I’m backing an UNDER bet below in my Dodgers Mets free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Dodgers vs. Mets Gameday
The Los Angeles Dodgers continue their road trip tonight with a visit to Citi Field for a matchup against the New York Mets. Los Angeles enters with a dominant 65-38 record atop the NL West, while the Mets sit at 43-60 and remain at the bottom of the NL East after another recent defeat.
The recent trends strongly favor the visitors.
The Dodgers have controlled this matchup by winning the last 3 meetings against New York with an average winning margin of 3.7 runs. Los Angeles also carries a 2-game winning streak into tonight, while the Mets are trying to put an end to another losing stretch.
Warm temperatures and a light breeze should create favorable conditions for baseball at Citi Field tonight. Dave Roberts will look to guide the Dodgers to another victory, while interim manager Andy Green hopes the Mets can reverse course with a stronger performance on their home field.
Los Angeles has owned the recent series, but every winning streak eventually faces another test.
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2026 MLB Baseball Handicapping
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Odds & Last 5
Los Angeles enters as the favorite with a -151 moneyline, while New York is listed at +127. The total has been set at 9.0 runs, suggesting expectations for a moderately high-scoring contest between these National League clubs.
Both teams have produced mixed recent results.
The Dodgers have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games despite entering on a 2-game winning streak, while the Mets are 4-6 during the same span. Los Angeles also brings a strong 34-19 road record into Citi Field as New York looks to improve its 21-28 mark at home.
Mets Stats
New York has delivered balanced production offensively despite inconsistent overall results. The Mets rank 19th with a .234 batting average, while their .303 on-base percentage ranks 23rd. They have still managed to hit 121 home runs, ranking 12th in baseball and providing steady power throughout the lineup.
The pitching staff has remained competitive.
The Mets own a 4.23 ERA that ranks 15th in the league while limiting opponents to a .236 batting average, ranking 9th. Their pitchers have also recorded 938 strikeouts, ranking 5th and continuing to generate swings and misses at an impressive rate.
Bo Bichette has contributed a .256 batting average along with 10 home runs, while Francisco Lindor has added a .233 batting average and 6 home runs. Both players continue serving as important pieces of New York’s offense throughout the season.
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Dodgers Stats
Los Angeles continues fielding one of baseball’s most dangerous offenses. The Dodgers own a .260 batting average that ranks 2nd in the league while leading all teams with a .340 on-base percentage. Their .431 slugging percentage ranks 2nd, and their 134 home runs rank 6th.
The pitching staff has been equally impressive.
The Dodgers carry a 3.55 ERA that ranks 3rd in baseball while holding opponents to a .216 batting average, the best mark in the league. Los Angeles has also produced 55 quality starts, leading all of Major League Baseball in that category.
Shohei Ohtani continues leading the lineup with 22 home runs while batting .283. Freddie Freeman has added a .289 batting average with 15 home runs, and Max Muncy has contributed 20 home runs while batting .262 to keep the Dodgers’ lineup among the league’s most dangerous.
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Dodgers vs. Mets Pitching Matchup
Roki Sasaki takes the mound for Los Angeles carrying a 3-5 record with a 4.98 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. While his overall numbers have been uneven, Sasaki continues showing the strikeout ability that gives the Dodgers confidence every time he starts.
Reducing traffic on the bases will remain an important objective.
Sasaki owns a 1.34 WHIP, reflecting the number of baserunners he has allowed throughout the season. Sharper command and limiting free passes could help lower his ERA as the year continues.
Sean Manaea starts for the Mets with a 2-5 record, a 4.74 ERA, and 81 strikeouts this season. His 1.36 WHIP is very similar to Sasaki’s, showing that both starters have faced comparable challenges when trying to limit baserunners.
Consistency remains the biggest key for Manaea.
His ability to minimize damage during difficult innings will be critical against one of baseball’s most productive lineups. With both starters still searching for greater consistency, tonight’s pitching duel could have a major impact on the outcome.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets bottom line: The Dodgers enter with the stronger lineup, better pitching numbers, and recent success in the series, while the Mets need a complete team effort to slow down Los Angeles.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets are 2-3 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Mets have covered the run line in 2 of their last 5 games.
- The total has gone under in 3 of the Mets’ last 5 games.
- Also, the Dodgers are 3-2 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Dodgers’ last 5 games.
Dodgers Mets Free Pick: Under 9
Here is my Dodgers Mets free pick: This matchup has the look of a tighter game than the total suggests, thanks to two clubs capable of getting quality work from the mound. I expect pitching to control the pace for most of the night.
The Mets have stayed under the total in 3 of their last 5 games. New York also enters with the league’s 3rd-ranked ERA at 3.55.
The Dodgers have been involved in higher-scoring games lately, but recent meetings between these teams have leaned the other way, with 2 of the last 3 finishing under the total. That trend, combined with the Mets’ strong pitching staff, points toward another lower-scoring battle.
Strong pitching often has a way of slowing down even the hottest offenses.
That’s the matchup I see.
With Citi Field expected to play fairly neutral and both teams capable of limiting big innings, I don’t expect this game to turn into a slugfest. My MLB betting system points to the Under 9, and that’s the total I’ll be backing.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
We mic’d up OG Anunoby for his first pitch 🎤
Full mic’d up 👉 https://t.co/4meeZeQB23 pic.twitter.com/lBDSu53d9e
— New York Mets (@Mets) July 23, 2026
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