Free MLB Pick: Dodgers vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Dodgers taking on the Mets on Wednesday, October 16th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Dodgers Mets NLCS Game 3 free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets
2024 MLB Playoffs – NLCS Game 3 – Series Tied 1-1
(98-64) Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets (89-73)
Date: Wednesday, October 16th
Time: 8:08 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Walker Buehler vs. Luis Severino
MLB Moneyline Odds: Dodgers -111 | Mets -106 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Dodgers -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Dodgers vs. Mets Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in New York, as the Mets host the Dodgers in this NL matchup. First pitch is set for 8:08 PM ET at Citi Field, with the temperature currently sitting at 56 degrees under a clear sky.
On the mound, we have a great pitching matchup between Walker Buehler for the Dodgers and Luis Severino for the Mets. The Dodgers are slight favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -111 compared to the Mets at -106. The over/under line is currently set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -104.
It was all Mets in the last game of this series, as New York took down the Dodgers by a score of 7-3. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Dodgers and struck out six more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +132 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Sean Manaea for the Mets and Ryan Brasier for the Dodgers. Manaea only went five innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Brasier was tagged for a home run and took the loss.
New York’s two home runs came from Mark Vientos and Francisco Lindor. Vientos, Starling Marte, and Tommy Edman each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mets’ offense.
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With an overall record of 98-64, the Dodgers are leading the NL West by five games over the Padres. The Dodgers have won five straight games, and they are 31-21 against other teams in the NL West this year. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 32-18-7 this year.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 52-29 this year, and they have been a solid team on the road, going 46-35. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 95-54 this year, and they are 7-13 as the underdog. Los Angeles is coming off a win in the second game of this series vs. the Mets, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.
The Dodgers are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.4 runs, and their over/under record is 95-69. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 16-9. The over has hit in two straight games for the Dodgers.
Dodgers Gambling
When the Dodgers are on the road, they have a run line record of 43-40, and their average run differential is +1.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have a run line record of 76-73 when they are the favorite.
Dodgers Stats
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been one of the most potent offenses in the league this season, ranking 2nd in runs per game at 5.2.
Their offensive numbers are even better on the road, where they are averaging 5.4 runs per game, which is the best in the league. The Dodgers have been hitting for power, as they rank 3rd in total home runs with 233.
Their team batting average of .258 is 3rd in the league, and their .335 OBP and .446 SLG are both 2nd in the league. The Dodgers have the best OPS in the league at .781. Shohei Ohtani has been the team’s best hitter this season, with a .310 batting average, .390 OBP, 54 home runs, and 130 RBI.
Teoscar Hernández has also been a key contributor, hitting .272 with 33 home runs and 99 RBI. Looking at recent performances, Tommy Edman has been hot, hitting .333 over his last 7 games.
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The Mets are 89-73 overall and trail the Phillies by six games for the NL East lead. New York is 30-22 against other teams in the NL East. New York will host the Dodgers today with an overall record of 46-35 at home compared to 43-38 on the road.
As the favorite, the Mets have gone 60-39 this year and 35-37 as the underdog. New York has won four straight games at home, and they are 9-12 as the home underdog this year. The Mets’ overall series record is 30-18-11 this year.
The Mets have played in 113 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which is 69.8% of their games. Their over/under record is 88-78 overall, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. The over has hit in their last two games, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 25-18.
Mets Gambling
The Mets have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 89-82 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 49-39, but have been profitable at home as well, going 40-43.
They have covered the run line in four straight games and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 43-29 compared to 46-53 as the favorite.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 7th in the league in runs per game with 4.7. Their home and road splits are nearly identical, with 4.8 runs per game on the road and 4.7 at home. They have hit 207 home runs this season, which is 6th in the league. Their team batting average of .246 is 8th in the league, while their strikeout rate is average at 16th.
The Mets have been patient at the plate, ranking 8th in walks. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top hitters this season, with Lindor leading the team in RBIs with 91. In terms of recent performances, Mark Vientos has been hot, hitting .364 with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs over his last 8 games.
Pete Alonso has also been productive, hitting .250 with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs over his last 8 games. Jesse Winker is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Dodgers Mets Pitching
Walker Buehler gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 1-6.
Buehler’s ERA is 5.38, and he most recently took the loss on October 8th, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, Buehler has allowed at least one homer in each start.
His WHIP for the season is 1.55, and opponents are batting .278 off the right-hander this year.
New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 11-7 and an ERA of 3.91.
So far this season, he has made 31 starts, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander. Severino has turned in 14 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Before that, he had given up four earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Dodgers head into the game having gone 8-2 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Dodgers they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Dodgers are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
We see the Dodgers picking up a road win over the Mets today, and with the Dodgers money line sitting at -111, this is the best way to play this one. Offensively, we actually have the Dodgers finishing with more home runs than the Mets, and you could look to take the Dodgers on the run line if you can get a line that you like.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s strikeout numbers, we have Walker Buehler finishing with five K’s and Luis Severino with six. As for the final score, we have this one ending with a 4-3 win for the Dodgers.
Today’s MLB NLCS Game 3 Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Punched back. #MetsWin #LGM pic.twitter.com/6pehGuk4UG
— x – New York Mets (@Mets) October 14, 2024
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