Free MLB Pick: Angels vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Angels taking on the Astros on Monday, May 20th, 2024 at Minute Maid Park, in Houston, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Angels Astros free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros
(18-29) Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros (21-26)
Date: Monday, May 20th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park Houston, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Reid Detmers vs. Framber Valdez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Angels +168 | Astros -200 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Angels +1.5 | Astros -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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At 8:10 PM ET in Houston, the Astros host the Angels in an AL West showdown. Framber Valdez will be on the mound for the Astros, while the Angels will counter with Reid Detmers. The Astros are the favorite in this one, with a money line payout of -200 compared to +168 for the Angels.
Looking at the over/under line, oddsmakers have set the total runs line at 8.5. The payout for the over is -109, while the under is listed at -112.
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles is on the road today vs. the Astros, and they are 18-29 overall, which puts them seven games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Angels and Athletics are both 7.0 games back, and the Angels are 2-1 in the division this year. Coming into today’s game, the Angels took the final two games of their series vs. the Rangers.
At home, the Angels have gone just 6-16 this year, but they have been better on the road at 12-13. So far, they are 1-4 as the favorite and 17-25 as the underdog. The Angels have dropped seven straight series at home, and their overall series record is 3-11-1 this year.
Heading into their last game vs. the Rangers, the Angels closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the +136 underdog on the money line. It was a four-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rangers could only score one run, which came in thejson 4th.
Angels Gambling
José Soriano put together a good start for the Angels, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Los Angeles’s offense was carried by Kevin Pillar, who went 1/1 with two RBIs.
Los Angeles has gone under in two straight games, and the under has hit in 12 of their 20 games with an 8.5 over/under line this season. The Angels have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game, and their games have gone over the over/under line in 26 of their 46 games this season.
When the Angels are underdogs, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 25-17. They have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog and are 16-9 on the run line on the road this season. They have yet to cover the run line in any game in which they were the favorite.
Angels Stats
When it comes to the Los Angeles Angels’ offense, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 17th in the league. Their batting average of .243 is 10th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .395 is 10th. Taylor Ward has been one of the Angels’ top hitters this season, with a .275 batting average and 10 home runs. Jo Adell is also a key contributor, hitting .252 with 8 home runs and 21 RBI. In terms of recent performances, Taylor Ward has been hot, hitting .314 over his last 9 games. Kevin Pillar is currently on a 6-game hitting streak.
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Houston Astros
Houston is 21-26 overall and 3rd in the AL West, four games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they have gone 9-5 in AL West matchups. The Astros will host the Angels today with an overall series record of 7-7-1, and they have won three straight series.
At home, the Astros are 13-13 this year and 8-13 on the road. Houston has been good as the favorite, going 16-20 this year, and they are 5-6 as the underdog. Their overall record is a result of going 8-2 over their last ten games.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Brewers with an impressive 9-4 win. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. It was a four-run 1st inning that really got the Astros going, and the Brewers could only score one run to open the game. Houston’s offense added another four runs in the 3rd inning and tacked on an additional run in the 5th.
Astros Gambling
Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just four runs on seven hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
So far this season, the Astros have played in 35 games with an average of 9.3 runs scored per game. Their over/under record is 18-26, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Astros have gone 4-8 in those games. Overall, 57.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 8.5 runs.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of +4.5. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.8 runs. Their overall run line record is 20-27, and they are 12-14 against the run line at home. They are 8-13 against the run line on the road, and they are 14-22 against the run line as the favorite.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .265. Their runs per game are 11th in the league at 4.6, but they have been much better at home, averaging 5.0 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. Their home run total of 56 is 4th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .421 is also 5th.
Kyle Tucker has been one of their top hitters this season, leading the team in on-base percentage at .417 and home runs with 15. He also has 33 RBIs, which is 1st on the team and 6th in the league. Jose Altuve has been hot at the plate, currently on a 7-game hitting streak.
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Angels Astros Pitching
Left-hander Reid Detmers gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.18. So far, Detmers has made two quality starts and is averaging 10.01 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Detmers has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings.
Framber Valdez has been pitching well for the Astros, as he has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.94. Looking at his overall numbers, Valdez has made six starts, and opponents are batting .254 this season. In his last outing, Valdez was fantastic, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing.
Valdez has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.61 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of two homers. At home, his ERA is 3.56, compared to 3.09 on the road.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Angels head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Angels they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Astros are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Astros have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Angels are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Astros have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for the Astros vs. Angels matchup is to take the over at 8.5 runs. We have the Astros winning this one by a final score of 5-4, which gives us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the Astros on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Framber Valdez has a much better chance of picking up a win than Reid Detmers. However, we have Valdez going just five innings, and his strikeout numbers are also lower than Detmers.
Offensively, the Astros are one of the best teams in the league today in terms of projected home runs, and you could look to stack a few of their hitters in a DFS lineup.
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