Free MLB Pick: Royals vs. Rangers Odds
Looking for Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Royals taking on the Rangers on Tuesday, 5/10/2022 at Globe Life Field in Arlington. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Royals Rangers free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(9-17) Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers (11-16)
Date: Tuesday, 5/10/2022
Time: 8:05 PM ET
Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington
Projected Pitchers: Brad Keller (KC) vs. Martin Perez (TEX)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Royals +120 / Rangers -140
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Royals +1.5 / Rangers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8
The Royals will head to Arlington Tuesday to play the Rangers in game 1 of their 3 game series. This game will future Brad Keller of the Royals squaring off against lefty Martin Perez of the Rangers. Both teams play early afternoon games on the road (Royals @ Orioles and Rangers @ Yankees) Monday before heading to Texas.
The Rangers open as home favorites sitting at -140 on the ML. The over/under is 8.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals took a loss on Monday afternoon losing 6-1 in Baltimore. They at least were able to split a doubleheader on Sunday winning the first game 6-4 and losing the second game 2-4.
Brad Keller comes into this start with a 1-2 record and a 1.74 ERA in 31 innings this season. Keller is coming off his first win of the season in his last start when he went 6.1 innings giving up 4 hits and 0 earned runs against the Cardinals.
Keller throws his slider 35% of the time and it’s the main reason he has been so great this season. Hitters are hitting .071 against the slider with a .183 expected batting average. Even looking at the expected batting average, this pitch has been lights out for Keller.
As a team, the Royals are 12th in batting average against lefties this season at .234. Another spin on it, the Royals are 26th in slugging against lefties this season. They seem to be hitting lefties well, but they aren’t getting extra base hits. Salvador Perez has been torching left handed pitchers this season hitting .407 with a homerun and 4 runs batted in. Look at taking some hits+runs+RBIs overs for Perez in this match-up.
Texas Rangers
Just like the Royals, the Rangers lost on Monday afternoon 1-0 and ended up losing the series after splitting a doubleheader on Sunday. They were held to just two hits Monday against the Yankees.
Martin Perez comes into this start with a 0-2 record and a 2.25 ERA in 28 innings of work. In his last start, he went 7 innings giving up 4 hits and zero earned runs in a no decision. After giving up 3 earned runs in each of his first 2 starts, he has only giving up 1 run combined in his last 3 starts.
Perez ranks in the 78th percentile in expected ERA, 70th percentile in expected BA, and 84th percentile in expected slugging. Not only has Perez been solid in 5 starts this season, but the expected stats seem to be backing up his solid beginning of the season. Perez isn’t going to be a high strikeout pitcher, but he throws a sinker 40%; he will be trying to get groundballs when he gives up contact.
The Rangers as a team rank 26th in batting average with a .208 average against righties so far this season. Nathaniel Lowe is leading the Rangers in hitting vs righties hitting .297 with a homerun and 7 runs batted in.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rangers are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 1-9 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rangers are 1-7 in Perezs last 8 home starts.
- Under is 19-5-5 in the last 29 meetings in Texas.
- Royals are 7-26 in the last 33 meetings.
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers MLB Prediction:
I’m going to be taking the under in this match-up. The Rangers are coming off a series where they didn’t hit well and the Royals rank 29th in runs per game.
4* Free MLB Pick: Under 8
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