Free MLB Pick: Royals vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Royals taking on the Yankees on Saturday, October 5th, 2024 at Yankee Stadium, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Royals Yankees free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees
2024 ALDS Series Preview
(86-76) Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees (94-68)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 6:38 ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Michael Wacha vs. Gerrit Cole
MLB Moneyline Odds: Royals +172 | Yankees -203 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Royals +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Royals vs. Yankees Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in the Bronx, as the New York Yankees host the Kansas City Royals in this American League matchup. First pitch is set for 6:38 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are the favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -203 compared to the Royals at +172.
On the mound for the Royals is Michael Wacha, while the Yankees will counter with Gerrit Cole. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -118 compared to the under at -102.
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City heads to New York for the first game of their AL Divisional Round series vs. the Yankees. The Royals finished the regular season with an 86-76 record, putting them 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. This year, they have gone 33-19 in divisional games.
As the road team today, the Royals are 41-40 this season compared to 45-36 at home. Kansas City has been good as the favorite this year, going 50-31, and they are 38-45 as the underdog. The Royals have won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 24-26-2 in series this year. They have dropped two straight series at home.
To close out their series vs. the Orioles, the Royals picked up a 2-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +125 on the money line. It was a good start for the Royals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 6th.
Seth Lugo put together a good start for the Royals, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Vinnie Pasquantino, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Royals Gambling
The Royals and Yankees kick off their AL Divisional Round series today, with the O/U line set at 7.5 runs. Kansas City has played to an average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 69-90 overall. When the O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Royals have gone under the total in 18 of 22 games. Their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs this season, and they have gone under the total in their last five games.
The Royals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 91-73 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 48-35 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 50-33 against the run line in those games.
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Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been an average offensive team this season, scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their batting average of .248 is 7th in the league, but their walk rate is 25th. The Royals have been good at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 2nd in the league in that category. Their top hitters this season have been Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Witt Jr. is hitting .332 with 32 home runs and 109 RBIs, while Perez is hitting .271 with 27 home runs and 104 RBIs. In terms of recent performance, Michael Massey has been hot, hitting .381 over his last 7 games. Salvador Perez is currently on a 3-game hitting streak, while Bobby Witt Jr. has hit safely in his last 5 games.
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New York Yankees
The Yankees will host the Royals today as the two teams kick off their AL Divisional Round series. New York finished the regular season with a record of 94-68, which was good enough for a three-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East.
At home, the Yankees were 44-37 this year, and they were really good on the road, going 50-31. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 76-60, and they are 18-8 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 29-18-4, and they dropped their most recent series vs. the Pirates. Currently, they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing three runs to the Pirates in the top of the 3rd, the Yankees responded with two runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Yankees was Clarke Schmidt, who picked up the win. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs, but the Yankees’s offense bailed him out. Trent Grisham went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Yankees Gambling
The Yankees and Royals will kick off their AL Divisional Round series in New York, where the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for these two teams is 9.2 runs per game, and the over/under record for the Yankees this season is 86-71. The over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs per game, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the record is 8-10. Overall, 85.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. They have a run line record of 84-78 on the season, and they are 35-46 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 62-74 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 22-4.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees are one of the top offensive teams in the league, ranking 3rd in runs per game with 5. They are 1st in total home runs with 237 and have a strong walk rate, ranking 1st in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, with Judge leading the team in batting average, on-base percentage, home runs, and RBI. Judge has been hot recently, hitting .348 with 5 home runs in his last 7 games. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat, hitting .361 over his last 8 games. The Yankees have a few players on hitting streaks, including Anthony Rizzo at 4 games and DJ LeMahieu at 5 games.
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Royals Yankees Pitching
Right-hander Michael Wacha gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 13-8 with an ERA of 3.35. Wacha’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. Looking back at his last outing, Wacha finished with a no-decision against the Nationals. In that start, he gave up three earned runs on five hits in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Wacha has made 14 quality starts this season and is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Orioles, he went 6 2/3 innings and gave up just two hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .211 off him this season. Cole’s ERA is 3.41, and his record for the season is 8-5. For the year, he has allowed 11 homers and is averaging 9.38 strikeouts per nine innings. Cole has turned in eight quality starts this year.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Royals head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Royals they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Yankees are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Yankees have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Royals are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Yankees have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees 4* Free MLB Betting Pick: UNDER
With the Yankees at home, we like them to pick up a win over the Royals. However, with the money line payout sitting at -203, we recommend taking the under, as we have this one ending with a score of 2-1 in favor of the Yankees.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Michael Wacha finishing with five strikeouts, compared to Gerrit Cole with six. As for the Yankees and Royals lineups, the Yankees are projected to finish with six hits compared to the Royals with six.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
We’ll see you at our place tonight. #RepBX pic.twitter.com/Ke8ptcIPBi
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 5, 2024
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