Free MLB Pick: Royals vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Royals taking on the Astros on Monday, May 12th, 2024 at Daikin Park, in Houston, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Royals Astros free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros
(24-18) Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (20-19)
Date: Monday, May 12th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Daikin Park Houston, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Michael Wacha vs. Ryan Gusto
MLB Moneyline Odds: Royals -104 | Astros -114 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Royals -1.5 | Astros +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Royals vs. Astros Gameday
The money line odds for Monday’s matchup between the Royals and Astros have the Royals at -104 compared to the Astros at -114. First pitch from Daikin Park in Houston is set for 8:10 PM ET. FDSKC will be televising this one.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Astros are looking to move above .500, as they are 20-19. However, they come into the game on a two-game losing streak. Michael Wacha is starting for the Royals, and they are 24-18, putting them 3rd in the AL Central.
Kansas City Royals
To close out their series vs. the Red Sox, the Royals took a 3-1 loss. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a good start for the Royals, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Red Sox scored in the 4th.
Seth Lugo put together a good start for the Royals, going six innings and giving up just three runs on six hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Kansas City’s offense scored their only run on a single by Whit Merrifield in the 3rd inning.
Kansas City is on the road today vs. the Astros, having dropped two straight games. The Royals are 24-18 overall, which has them 3rd in the AL Central. They are 2.5 games behind the Tigers for the division lead, and they are 10-8 in divisional games this year.
The Royals have won two straight games on the road, and they are 8-11 on the road this year. So far, they have been strong at home, going 16-7. This year, they have yet to be the favorite in a game.
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Royals Stats
The Royals have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, as they are 27th in runs per game at just 3.4. This is also the worst mark in the league in terms of home runs. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the league, and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. However, their team on-base percentage of .300 is just 22nd in the league.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/33 in his last eight games with two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .315 with five homers. Vinnie Pasquantino has been the team’s biggest power threat, as he is 8th in the league with six homers, but has a batting average of just .217.
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Houston Astros
Houston closed out their series vs. the Reds with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -149. Offensively, the Astros scored their six runs on nine hits and only hit one home run.
Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros, going eight innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out 11 Reds batters. Yainer Diaz was hot at the plate, going 1/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Houston will kick off their series vs. the Royals two games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Astros are 3-3 in the division and have an overall record of 20-19. They have been better at home this year, going 13-8 compared to 7-11 on the road.
The Astros won their series vs. the Reds, taking two of three games. So far, they have an even series record of 7-6. As for their overall record, they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Astros Stats
Over the past eight games, Jake Meyers has been swinging a hot bat for the Astros, going 10/26 with two homers and seven RBIs. Christian Walker is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Yainer Diaz is also on a hot streak, as he is currently riding a nine-game hitting streak and is the team’s current leader in RBIs (21).
Heading into the game, the Astros are 17th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 11th in the league, and are one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts. So far, they have been a below-average home run hitting team.
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Royals Astros Pitching
Kansas City is sending Michael Wacha to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 2.98 ERA. Wacha’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. Looking back over his last three outings, Wacha has given up two earned runs in each of those starts. So far, he has made three quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Wacha has 6.75 strikeouts and 2.78 walks.
Ryan Gusto is getting the start for the Astros today and has made four starts this year. He has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.93. So far, opponents are batting .248 off Gusto, and his WHIP for the season is 1.26. In his nine appearances, Gusto has a total of three home runs allowed. Looking back at his last outing, he came out of the bullpen and went two-thirds of an inning, giving up two hits, two walks, and three earned runs. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Royals head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Royals they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Astros are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Astros have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Royals are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Astros have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Royals vs. Astros Prediction: Astros ML -114
Our prediction for today’s Royals vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -114. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t much value on either side, but if you’re looking to play the line, we would take the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryan Gusto of the Astros finishing with five strikeouts compared to Michael Wacha with five.
However, Wacha is projected to finish with six hits allowed compared to Gusto with nine.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Putting up Red-iculous numbers.#BuiltForThis x @budweiserusa pic.twitter.com/de2sNN9D0X
— Houston Astros (@astros) May 11, 2025
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