Free MLB Pick: Royals vs. Orioles Odds
Looking for Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Royals taking on the Orioles on Wednesday, October 2nd, 2024 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, in Baltimore, MD. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Royals Orioles free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles
(86-76) Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles (91-71)
Date: Wednesday, October 2nd
Time: 4:38 ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards Baltimore, MD
Projected Starting Pitchers: Seth Lugo vs. Zach Eflin
MLB Moneyline Odds: Royals +134 | Orioles -158 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Royals +1.5 | Orioles -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Royals vs. Orioles Gameday
It’s a pivotal AL matchup tonight in Baltimore, as the Orioles host the Royals at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 4:38 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN. The Orioles are the favorites in this one, with a money line of -158 compared to the Royals’ +134.
On the mound for the Royals is Seth Lugo, while the Orioles will counter with Zach Eflin. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over slightly favored at -110 compared to the under at -111.
Thanks to a good outing from Cole Ragans, the Royals were able to pick up a 1-0 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +124 on the money line.
Ragans went six innings and struck out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Lucas Erceg closed things out. Corbin Burnes had a good outing for the Orioles in the loss, going eight innings and giving up just one run.
Kansas City’s only run came in the 6th inning, as they were able to push across the game’s only run. As for the Orioles, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster two hits.
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The Royals lead the Orioles 1-0 in their series heading into today’s game. If the Royals can pick up the win today, they will move on to the next round. Currently, they trail the Guardians by 6.5 games in the AL Central standings. This season, they have an overall record of 86-76 while going 33-19 against other teams in the division.
At home, the Royals were 45-36 this season, and they are just above .500 at 41-40 on the road. As the underdog, the Royals are 37-45 this year and 50-31 when favored. Kansas City has won two straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 23-26-2. They have dropped two straight series at home.
The Royals lead the series 1-0 heading into game 2 against the Orioles, with the O/U line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for these two teams is 8.5 runs per game. The O/U record for the Royals this season is 69-89, with the average O/U line set at 8 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, the Royals have gone under 4-17. The O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs in 131 of their games this season, which is 80.9% of their games. The under has hit in their last 4 games.
Royals Gambling
The Royals are 90-73 against the run line this season and have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog. They are 47-35 against the run line on the road this season, with an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +3.9 runs per game.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their home offense has been slightly better, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. The team’s batting average of .248 is 7th in the league, and they are 2nd in the league in strikeouts per game at 7. The Royals’ top hitters this season have been Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Witt Jr. is hitting .332 with 32 home runs and 109 RBI, while Perez is hitting .271 with 27 home runs and 104 RBI. Witt Jr. is also on a 4-game hitting streak. In terms of recent performances, Hunter Renfroe has struggled in his last 4 games, hitting just .182 with 2 home runs and 2 RBI.
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The Orioles are down 0-1 in their series vs. the Royals, and they will be at home for game two. Currently, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, three games behind the Yankees. Overall, the Orioles have a record of 91-71, and they have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games.
Baltimore has put together a three-game winning streak, and this is also their record as the favorite. As the underdog, the Orioles are 21-19 this year. At home, they are 44-37 and 47-34 on the road. The Orioles’ overall series record is 26-18-7, and they have won two straight series.
The Orioles’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 87-64. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and when the line has been set at that number, the over has hit in 10 of their 17 games. Overall, 79.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Orioles Gambling
With their run line record at home being 38-44, the Orioles have been a losing bet at home this season. They have also failed to cover the run line in their last three home games and are 3-3 in their last six games overall. They are 27-13 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 4th in the league in runs per game at 4.9. Their power has been a big strength, as they are 2nd in the league in total home runs with 235. Their slugging percentage of .435 is 3rd in the league. Two of their top hitters this season have been Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander. Henderson is hitting .281 with 37 home runs and 92 RBI, while Santander has 44 home runs and 102 RBI. Emmanuel Rivera and Ryan O’Hearn have been hot at the plate recently, with Rivera hitting .556 over his last 5 games and O’Hearn hitting .385. Cedric Mullins is currently on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Royals Orioles Pitching
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 33 starts and has a record of 16-9 with an ERA of 3.00. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his 33 starts, he has turned in 22 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he had just two scoreless innings of work. Lugo has made one appearance vs. the Orioles this year and finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in three innings of work. Opponents are batting .226 off Lugo this season.
Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today and comes in with a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.59. He has made 28 starts this year and has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.77. Eflin has made 13 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.29 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Eflin finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had turned in back-to-back outings in which he gave up just one earned run.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Royals head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Royals they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Orioles have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Royals are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Orioles have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Royals vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at +134. We have the Royals winning this one by a final score of 6-4, and with the payout at +134, we feel there is a lot of value in taking the Royals to win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Seth Lugo finishing with five strikeouts, and for Zach Eflin, we have him finishing with just two. As for the offenses, we have the Royals finishing with seven strikeouts compared to the Orioles with eight.
If you’d like a parlay on this one throw a little on the OVER. I see this flying over the 7.5.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Zach gets the nod for Game 2.#BeTheNoise x https://t.co/VBdHXmge1n pic.twitter.com/ctgnnP4Ddo
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) October 1, 2024
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