Free MLB Pick: Royals vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Royals taking on the Braves on Saturday, September 28th, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Royals Braves free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves
(85-75) Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves (87-71)
Date: Saturday, September 28th
Time: 7:20 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Seth Lugo vs. Reynaldo López
MLB Moneyline Odds: Royals +129 | Braves -154 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Royals +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Royals vs. Braves Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Atlanta, as the Braves host the Royals at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 PM, and the game will be broadcast on BSKC. The weather forecast calls for 73 degrees with broken clouds overhead.
On the mound for the Royals is Seth Lugo, while the Braves will counter with Reynaldo López. The Braves come into this one as the favorites, with a money line payout of -154 compared to +129 for the Royals. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.
The most recent game o of this Braves vs. Royals series came right down to the end, as the Royals rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -189 on the money line.
Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in that game, going 8 2/3 innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Brady Singer had a good outing for the Royals in the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Sean Murphy provided the difference for the Braves’ offense, as he homered and scored three times. Michael Massey had a two-hit game for the Royals.
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Kansas City is 85-75 overall and trails the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 33-19 against other teams in the AL Central. The Royals will be on the road today, taking on the Braves and are losing their series with Atlanta, dropping game one.
At home, the Royals have gone 45-36 this year, and they are just above .500 at 40-39 on the road. Kansas City has dropped three straight games as the underdog and are 3-7 over their last 10 games overall. So far, they are 50-31 as the favorite and 35-44 as the underdog this year.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Royals have played 130 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 81.2% of their games. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 4-16.
Royals Gambling
The Royals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 87-73 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 44-35 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 46-33 against the run line in those games. They have an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game this season.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been an average offensive team this season, scoring 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their batting average of .249 is 7th in the league, but they have struggled with walks, ranking 25th in that category. Their top hitters this season have been Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Witt Jr. is hitting .332 with 32 home runs and 109 RBIs, while Perez is hitting .271 with 27 home runs and 104 RBIs. Witt Jr. has been hot lately, hitting .360 over his last 7 games. However, Hunter Renfroe has struggled, hitting just .133 over his last 6 games.
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With an overall record of 87-71, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have won four straight games, and they are 27-23 against other teams in the NL East. Atlanta took the first game of the series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Braves are 44-33 this season and 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 74-53 this year and 13-18 as the underdog. Atlanta has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 29-17-7.
Atlanta has played in 115 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 72.8% of their games. Their combined run average is 8.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 58-94. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 13-21. The under has hit in their last two games.
Braves Gambling
When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line overall, going 76-82, and have been even better on the road, where they are 43-38. They have covered the run line in their last two games and are 33-44 against the run line at home.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been a middle-of-the-pack offensive team this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Their offense has been slightly better on the road, where they average 4.8 runs per game, compared to just 3.9 runs per game at home. The Braves have hit a total of 209 home runs this season, which is the 3rd best mark in the league.
Their team batting average of .243 is 9th in the league, and their ISO of .173 ranks 5th. Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .308 with 39 home runs and 102 RBIs. Matt Olson has also been a key contributor, hitting .245 with 29 home runs and 98 RBIs. In terms of recent performances, Matt Olson has been hot, going 7 for 19 (.368) with 3 home runs in his last 6 games.
Michael Harris II has also been swinging a hot bat, hitting .519 over his last 6 games. The Braves have a few players on hitting streaks, with Jorge Soler, Ozzie Albies, and Ronald Acuña Jr. all currently on 4-game hitting streaks.
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Royals Braves Pitching
Seth Lugo will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. In that start vs. the Giants, he gave up three homers. Before that outing, Lugo had won three straight starts.
His record for the season is 16-9, and his ERA is 3.03. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is 1.09. Out of his 32 starts, Lugo has turned in 22 quality starts and has a complete game to his name. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.83 strikeouts and just 2.07 walks.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 2.03. So far, he has made 24 starts and 13 of them have been quality starts. López’s ERA is slightly better at home, where it is 1.83 compared to 2.12 on the road.
In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going just one inning and not giving up a run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The most recent of those wins came on the road, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Royals head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Royals they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Royals are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this game is that the Braves will pick up a 6-4 win over the Royals. With the Braves being the predicted winner, we recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -154.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Reynaldo López is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today. As for Seth Lugo, he is only projected to finish with five K’s, which ranks him seventh.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
#BravesCountry is real 💙 pic.twitter.com/2YgiA88FQN
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 28, 2024
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