Free MLB Pick: Royals vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Royals taking on the Braves on Friday, September 27th, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Royals Braves free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves
(85-74) Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves (86-71)
Date: Friday, September 27th
Time: 7:20 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Brady Singer vs. Max Fried
MLB Moneyline Odds: Royals +164 | Braves -196 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Royals +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Royals vs. Braves Gameday
At 7:20 PM ET in Atlanta, GA, the Royals and Braves are set to square off in an interleague matchup at Truist Park. The weather forecast is calling for 72 degrees with light rain, so there could be a delay or two in this one.
On the mound for the Royals is Brady Singer, while the Braves will counter with Max Fried. The Braves are the favorite in this one, with a money line payout of -196 compared to the Royals’ +164. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the under slightly favored at -112.
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is on a three-game winning streak, and they will be looking to pick up a win on the road today vs. the Braves. The Royals are 85-74 overall, putting them seven games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 33-19 in divisional play.
The Royals have been good at home this year, going 45-36, but they are just above .500 at 40-38 on the road. As the underdog, the Royals are 20-29 this year and 35-43 as the favorite. Kansas City closed out their series vs. the Nationals with three straight wins, but they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
To close out their series vs. the Nationals, the Royals picked up a 7-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -177. Offensively, the Royals scored their seven runs on eight hits and only hit one home run. It was a big 3rd inning for the Royals, as they scored three runs in the inning. Kansas City’s bullpen was also impressive, as they didn’t give up a run after Michael Wacha exited the game.
Wacha got the start for the Royals, going five innings and giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Hunter Renfroe, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Royals Gambling
The Kansas City Royals are on the road to face the Atlanta Braves, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Royals games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 69-85. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 4-15. The majority of their games this season have had higher over/under lines, with 81.8% of their games having lines set above 7.5 runs.
When the Royals are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 44-34 on the run line away from Kauffman Stadium. Their average run margin on the road is 0.7, and they have covered the run line in two straight games.
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Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their batting average of .250 is 7th best in the MLB, but their total home runs of 168 is below average. The Royals have been striking out at an elite rate, with just 7 strikeouts per game, which is 2nd best in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, who have both been consistent at the plate. Witt Jr. is hitting .360 over his last 7 games, while Perez is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Atlanta Braves
With an overall record of 86-71, the Braves trail the Phillies by seven games for the NL East lead. Atlanta is 3rd in the NL East and just picked up a game on the Mets, who are in 2nd place, six games out of first. The Braves have gone 27-23 against other teams in the NL East this season.
At home, the Braves are 43-33 this season and 43-38 on the road. They have won three straight games, and this year, they are 73-53 as the favorite and 41-29 when favored at home. Atlanta’s overall series record is 29-17-7, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
Heading into their last game vs. the Mets, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -145. Offensively, the Braves scored their five runs on json0 hits and only hit two home runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good start for the Braves, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Michael Harris II, who went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Braves Gambling
The Atlanta Braves have played in 115 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5, which is 73.2% of their games. Their games have averaged a combined 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-93 overall. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 13-20, and the average line in their games this season has been set at 8 runs.
When the Braves are favored, they are 57-69 against the run line, and when they are underdogs, they are 18-13. Their average run margin is 0.6 runs per game, and they are 75-82 against the run line overall. They are 32-44 against the run line at home and 43-38 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, and it is -3.3 in losing games.
Braves Stats
When it comes to the Atlanta Braves’ offense, they have been solid on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. However, their home offense has struggled, as they are 26th in the league with 3.9 runs per game at home. The Braves have hit a total of 208 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league. Their batting average of .244 is 12th in the league, and their ISO of .173 is 5th. Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s top hitter this season, with a .310 batting average, 39 home runs, and 102 RBIs. Matt Olson has also been a key contributor, hitting .246 with 29 home runs and 98 RBIs. In terms of recent performances, Michael Harris II has been on fire, hitting .517 with 4 home runs and 8 RBIs over his last 6 games.
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Royals Braves Pitching
Brady Singer is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants, as he gets the start for the Royals today vs. the Braves. In that start, which came on September 21st, Singer took the loss after giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He finished with six strikeouts in the outing. Overall, Singer has a record of 9-12 and an ERA of 3.73. Looking at his home/road splits, Singer has a record of 3-5 on the road with a 4.71 ERA. At home, he is 6-7 with a 3.54 ERA.
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the Marlins, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up just two earned runs. Looking back at his last four outings, Fried has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 10-10, and his ERA is 3.42. Fried has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .227 this season. In total, he has two complete games and one shutout, along with 15 quality starts. Fried’s ERA at home is 4.73 compared to 5.39 on the road.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Royals head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Royals they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Royals are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this game is 4-2 in favor of the Braves. However, with the money line payout for a Braves win being -196, we recommend taking the under, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could pair a Braves win with an over on the run line. As for the starting pitchers, we have Max Fried finishing with six strikeouts compared to Brady Singer with five.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
To all of our fans throughout Braves Country that will be impacted by Hurricane Helene, please stay safe. pic.twitter.com/AZ99CPQ7BJ
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 25, 2024
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