Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Mariners Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Mariners on Sunday, July 21st, 2024 at T-Mobile Park, in Seattle, WA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Mariners free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
(52-46) Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners (52-48)
Date: Sunday, July 21st
Time: 4:10 ET
Venue: T-Mobile Park Seattle, WA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Ronel Blanco vs. Bryan Woo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -107 | Mariners -111 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros -1.5 | Mariners +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7
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Astros vs. Mariners Gameday
It’s an AL West showdown in Seattle tonight as the Mariners host the Astros at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch is set for 4:10 PM PT. The Astros are slight favorites in this one, coming in at -107 on the money line compared to the Mariners at -111.
On the mound for the Astros is Ronel Blanco, while the Mariners will counter with Bryan Woo. The over/under line is set at 7 runs, with the over paying out at -122 compared to +100 for the under.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Astros vs Mariners series. Houston went into the matchup as +111 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Astros offense only had two more hits than the Mariners and struck out 11 times.
Seattle wasted a good outing from George Kirby, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Mariners. Ryne Stanek took the loss. Tayler Scott got the win out of the bullpen for the Astros as Framber Valdez went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs.
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Offensively, the Astros were led by Yainer Diaz and Jake Meyers, as they were the only two Houston hitters to have more than one hit and each had a home run. Julio Rodriguez hit the game’s only other homer for the Mariners.
The Astros are 52-46 overall and lead the AL West by one game over the Mariners. Houston has won two straight games, and they are 18-14 against other teams in the AL West. So far, they have gone 28-21 at home and have been just above .500 at 24-25 on the road.
As the favorite, the Astros have gone 38-33 this year, and they are 14-13 as the underdog. On the road, they have won two straight, and their overall series record is 17-12-1. Over the Astros’ last 10 games, they are 6-4.
It’s been a high-scoring season for the Astros, as their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 38-56, and the average line for their games is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7 runs, the over is 4-0. In fact, 95.9% of their games have had higher lines than 7 runs. They are currently on a four-game under streak.
Astros Gambling
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a solid bet this season, going 52-46 overall. They are 26-23 on the run line at home and on the road, and they have covered the run line in three straight games. Their average run differential for the season is +0.6 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 18-9 on the run line in those games.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season. They lead the league in batting average at .261 and are 6th in slugging percentage at .416. Their runs per game at home are 3rd in the league at 5.1. Their top hitters for the season include Yordan Alvarez, who is 3rd on the team in batting average at .293, and leads the team in home runs with 19 and RBI with 52. Kyle Tucker is another key contributor, leading the team in on-base percentage at .395. The Astros have a few players on hitting streaks, including Jose Altuve, who has a 5-game hitting streak.
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Seattle will host the Astros today, looking to snap a five-game losing streak. The Mariners are 52-48 overall, which has them one game behind the Astros in the AL West. So far, they have gone 18-10 in divisional games.
At home, the Mariners are 30-20 this year, but they have dropped four straight at home. On the road, Seattle is 22-28 this season. As the underdog, the Mariners have won two straight, and they are 19-19 as the underdog overall. Seattle’s series record is 13-15-2 this year.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.5 runs per game this season, and the Mariners have gone over the total in 41 of their 95 games. When the O/U line has been set at 7 runs, Seattle has gone over the total in 8 of 27 games. The under has hit in each of the last four games for the Mariners.
Mariners Gambling
Seattle is 22-28 against the run line at home this season, and the Mariners have lost five straight run line bets at home. They are 21-17 against the run line as underdogs this season.
Mariners Stats
The Seattle Mariners have struggled to score runs this season, ranking near the bottom in most offensive categories. Their batting average of .217 is the worst in the league, and they are 28th in runs per game at 3.8. However, they do draw walks well, ranking 7th in the league. Their top hitters for the season include Cal Raleigh, who leads the team in home runs and RBI, and Julio Rodríguez, who has been hot at the plate recently. Rodríguez is hitting .400 over his last 7 games. The Mariners will need their offense to step up if they want to improve their run production.
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Astros Mariners Pitching
Houston is sending Ronel Blanco to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he comes in with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.56. Blanco’s WHIP for the season is .97, and he has made 18 starts, along with one complete game shutout. Blanco has turned in 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.26 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Blanco took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Blanco has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.51 compared to 4-3 with a 2.84 ERA at home.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with a 2.46 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .210 off Woo this season, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his most recent outing, Woo finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss. Woo’s ERA at home is 0.56 compared to 4.18 on the road.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mariners are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mariners have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mariners have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for the Astros vs. Mariners matchup is 4-2 in favor of the Mariners. We see this as a great value pick.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Ronel Blanco is predicted to finish with five strikeouts compared to Bryan Woo for the Mariners, who is projected to finish with seven. As for the Mariners lineup, they are predicted to finish with nine hits compared to the Astros with five.
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