Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Mariners Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Mariners on Friday, July 19th, 2024 at T-Mobile Park, in Seattle, WA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Mariners free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
(50-46) Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners (52-46)
Date: Friday, July 19th
Time: 10:10 ET
Venue: T-Mobile Park Seattle, WA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Hunter Brown vs. Luis Castillo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros +107 | Mariners -127 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros +1.5 | Mariners -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7
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Astros vs. Mariners Gameday
It’s an AL West showdown in Seattle tonight as the Mariners host the Astros at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is set for 10:10 PM ET, and you can catch the action on MLBN. The Mariners are slight favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -127 compared to the Astros at +107.
On the mound for the Astros is Hunter Brown, while the Mariners will counter with Luis Castillo. The over/under line is set at 7 runs, with the over paying out at -116 compared to the under at -105.
Houston Astros
Houston is on the road today, taking on the Mariners with an overall record of 50-46, which has them just one game behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Astros have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Rangers. So far, they are 16-14 in AL West play.
At home, the Astros have gone 28-21 this season, and they are just above .500 at 22-25 on the road. As the underdog, the Astros have gone 12-13 this season, and they have dropped three straight as the underdog overall. Their overall series record is 17-12-1 this year.
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Houston closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 4-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -126 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored twice in the top of the first.
Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just two runs on two hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Astros’s offense scored their only other run in the 6th, and Jake Meyers hit a solo home run.
Astros Gambling
The Houston Astros are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 38-54. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 0-3. So far this season, 96.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 24-23, which includes a 2-0 run line win streak as an underdog. Their average run margin in all games is +0.5, but that number jumps to +1.2 at home and drops to -0.2 on the road.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been one of the best offensive teams in baseball this season, leading the league in batting average at .262. They are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 10th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve, who are both hitting over .290 and have combined for 33 home runs and 96 RBI. Kyle Tucker has also been a key contributor, leading the team with a .395 on-base percentage. Alex Bregman has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .333 over his last 6 games.
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Seattle Mariners
Seattle is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 52-46, which has them leading the AL West by one game over the Astros. The Mariners are on a three-game losing streak, dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Angels and the first game of this series vs. the Astros.
So far, the Mariners have been good vs. other teams in the AL West, putting up an 18-8 record. At home, they are 30-18 compared to 22-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 33-27 and 19-19 as the underdog this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 13-15-2 and have dropped three straight series at home.
Seattle is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-2 loss to the Angels, Logan Gilbert was excellent on the mound, allowing no runs while pitching seven innings. They also got a big offensive performance from J.P. Crawford, going 1/5 with a homer.
Austin Voth took the loss out of the bullpen for the Mariners, as Seattle allowed three runs in the bottom of the 8th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Mariners were at -167 on the money line.
Mariners Gambling
Seattle’s over/under record is 41-52 this season, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, the Mariners are 8-14-4. The over has hit in 68.4% of their games this season, and their combined run average is 7.5 runs per game. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Seattle has been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they are just 44-54 overall. They have been a little better at home, going 22-26, but they have lost their last three at home against the run line. They are 21-17 against the run line as an underdog, but just 23-37 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2, while it is -3.2 in their losses.
Mariners Stats
The Seattle Mariners have struggled to score runs this season, ranking 28th in the league with only 3.9 runs per game. Their batting average of .219 is the worst in the league, and they also rank last in strikeouts per game with 10. However, they have shown some power with 109 total home runs, which is 10th in the league. Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners’ offense, leading the team with 20 home runs and 61 RBIs. Julio Rodríguez has been red hot at the plate, hitting .591 over his last 6 games, and he is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Astros Mariners Pitching
Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 4.39. Brown’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his 18 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.61 strikeouts per nine innings. Brown’s last outing came on July 12th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Angels on July 11th, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just five hits. Looking back further, Castillo has made 20 starts and is 8-9 with a 3.53 ERA. Opponents are batting .230 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 15 homers.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mariners are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mariners have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mariners have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Astros vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -127. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under line, as the line is sitting at 7 runs, and we have this game going over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Castillo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for fifth among all starters. As for Hunter Brown, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him down in 18th.
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