Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Mariners Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Mariners on Monday, May 27th, 2024 at T-Mobile Park, in Seattle, WA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Mariners free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
(24-29) Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners (28-26)
Date: Monday, May 27th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: T-Mobile Park Seattle, WA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Framber Valdez vs. Bryce Miller
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -129 | Mariners +109 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros -1.5 | Mariners +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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It’s an AL West showdown tonight in Seattle as the Mariners host the Astros at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET, and you can catch the action on MLBN. The Mariners are currently sitting atop the AL West standings, while the Astros are in third place.
On the mound for the Astros is Framber Valdez, while the Mariners will counter with Bryce Miller. The over/under for this game is set at 7.5 runs, with the under slightly favored at -111.
Houston Astros
Houston is 24-29 overall and 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 3.5 games. So far, they have gone 12-8 in divisional matchups. The Astros will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Mariners, and they are 10-14 on the road this season.
The Astros have an overall series record of 8-8-1 this year, and they have won two straight series on the road. As the favorite, Houston is 19-23 this year, and they are 5-6 as the underdog. Their most recent series was vs. the Athletics, which they won 2-1. Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 6-4 over their last 10.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a 5-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -169. It was a big 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Astros scored five runs in the inning. The Athletics could only score two runs, both of which came in the 6th.
Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Kyle Tucker, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Astros Gambling
The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.2 runs per game. Houston has an over/under record of 21-29 on the season. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Astros have a record of 3-3. So far this season, 88.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. The under has hit in the last two games for the Astros.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. That’s why they are just 22-31 against the run line this season, including a 10-14 mark on the road. They are 16-26 vs. the run line as the favorite and 6-5 as the underdog.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .264. Their runs per game at home are 4.9, which is 6th in the league. They are also 4th in the league in home runs with 64. Kyle Tucker has been their best hitter this season, leading the team in on-base percentage and home runs. Yordan Alvarez has been on a hot streak, hitting .355 over his last 8 games. Mauricio Dubón and Yordan Alvarez are both currently on hitting streaks.
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Seattle Mariners
Seattle is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 28-26, which has them leading the AL West by three games over the Rangers. The Mariners closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a loss and are just 4-6 across their last 10 games.
So far, the Mariners have gone 6-3 in divisional games, and they are 4-2 as the home underdog this season. Seattle’s overall home record is 15-10 compared to 13-16 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners have gone 12-13 this year and 16-13 as the favorite.
Seattle closed out their series vs. the Nationals with an impressive 9-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -177. It was a big 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Mariners scored three runs in the inning. Seattle’s offense was carried by Julio Rodriguez, who went 3/5 with a homer and four RBIs.
Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up three runs on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Mariners Gambling
Seattle is playing at home against Houston today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners’ games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-30. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-9. Overall, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Seattle has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 26-28 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 13-12. They have been favored in 29 games, going 13-16 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while it is -3.7 in losing games.
Mariners Stats
The Seattle Mariners have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which ranks 28th in MLB. Their batting average of .224 is 18th in the league, and they strike out an average of 10 times per game, which is the second-worst mark in the league. However, they do have some power, as their 61 total home runs are 6th in the league. Ty France, who is currently on a 3-game hitting streak, has been one of their top hitters this season, with 6 home runs and 20 RBI. Dylan Moore has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .355 with 3 home runs over his last 10 games.
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Astros Mariners Pitching
Framber Valdez is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Angels, as he gave up eight earned runs in five innings of work. In that May 20th start, he gave up three homers. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts and didn’t give up a run in either outing. Valdez has a record of 3-2 this season and an ERA of 4.32. Opponents are batting .281 off the left-hander this season. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is 1.32. So far, he has made three quality starts.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.53 ERA. Miller’s WHIP for the season is .97, and opponents are batting .190 this season. In his 10 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Yankees, where he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work. Miller took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight starts.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mariners are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mariners have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mariners have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
We see the Mariners taking this one at home with a predicted final score of 6-5. Given that they are the underdogs on the money line at +109, this is the bet we recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Framber Valdez finishing with a solid six strikeouts, while Bryce Miller is projected to finish with four. However, we have Miller finishing with a better chance to pick up the win compared to Valdez.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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